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Champions League
Referee: I Kovacs
Galatasaray
S T S S U
1–1
Full-time
Ath Madrid
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Galatasaray Ath Madrid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,8
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
2,0
1,8
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,7
4,5
Scored
1,3
2,5
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

0,50 xG 1,43
46% Possession 54%
7 Shots 15
2 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 7
1 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Galatasaray Ath Madrid
4′
⚽ G. Simeone 0–1
M. Ruggeri
0–2 M. Llorente ⚽
own goal
20′
Victor Osimhen 🟨
29′
29′
🟨 Marc Pubill
41′
🟨 Thiago Almada
Half-time 0–2
46′
🔁 A. Baena
↦ T. Almada
49′
🟨 Pablo Barrios
56′
🔁 J. Cardoso
↦ Koke
56′
🔁 R. Le Normand
↦ P. Barrios
Roland Sallai 🟨
61′
61′
🔁 A. Griezmann
↦ A. Sorloth
Gabriel Sara 🔁
↦ Y. Akgun
65′
67′
🟨 Giuliano Simeone
73′
🔁 N. Gonzalez
↦ J. Alvarez
I. Jakobs 🔁
↦ B. A. Yilmaz
80′
Mario Lemina 🟨
83′
I. Gundogan 🔁
↦ L. Torreira
88′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Galatasaray

4-2-3-1
1 U. Cakir G
7 R. Sallai D
6 D. Sanchez D
42 A. Bardakci D
17 E. Elmali D
34 L. Torreira M
99 M. Lemina M
10 L. Sane M
11 Y. Akgun M
53 B. A. Yilmaz M
45 V. Osimhen F
Bench (12)
12 B. Sen
19 G. Guvenc
4 I. Jakobs
8 Gabriel Sara
9 M. Icardi
20 I. Gundogan
21 A. Kutucu
23 K. Ayhan
30 Y. Demir
64 Y. Kahraman
67 E. C. Karasu
68 F. Kocak

Coach: Okan Buruk

Ath Madrid

4-4-2
13 J. Oblak G
14 M. Llorente D
18 M. Pubill D
17 D. Hancko D
3 M. Ruggeri D
20 G. Simeone M
8 P. Barrios M
6 Koke M
11 T. Almada M
9 A. Sorloth F
19 J. Alvarez F
Bench (12)
1 J. Musso
31 S. Esquivel
2 J. M. Gimenez
5 J. Cardoso
7 A. Griezmann
10 A. Baena
23 N. Gonzalez
24 R. Le Normand
28 T. Seidu
29 R. Belaid
34 J. Diaz
37 I. Luque

Coach: Diego Simeone

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

I Kovacs · 37 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.