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Champions League
Referee: S Gozubuyuk
Juventus
S U S S T
2–0
Full-time
Benfica
S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Juventus Benfica
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
2,2
1,7
Conceded
0,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 6/10 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
50%
20%
Both score Ø 39%
67%
10%
Average goals
3,7
1,9
Scored
2,0
1,1
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,36 xG 1,44
46% Possession 54%
12 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 8
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 7
2 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

29. Jan -25 Juventus – Benfica 0–2 25. Oct -22 Benfica – Juventus 4–3 14. Sep -22 Juventus – Benfica 1–2

Match report

Juventus Benfica
Half-time 0–0
F. Conceicao 🔁
↦ F. Miretti
46′
Manuel Locatelli 🟨
49′
1–0 K. Thuram ⚽
55′
2–0 W. McKennie ⚽
J. David
64′
69′
🔁 E. Barrenechea
↦ G. Sudakov
69′
🔁 F. Ivanovic
↦ A. Schjelderup
L. Openda 🔁
↦ J. David
70′
J. Cabal 🔁
↦ A. Cambiaso
70′
77′
🔁 J. Rego
↦ G. Prestianni
80′
ℹ️ Leandro Barreiro
VAR: Penalty confirmed
F. Kostic 🔁
↦ K. Yildiz
82′
T. Koopmeiners 🔁
↦ M. Locatelli
87′
Lloyd Kelly 🟨
88′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Juventus

4-2-3-1
16 M. Di Gregorio G
15 P. Kalulu D
3 Bremer D
6 L. Kelly D
27 A. Cambiaso D
5 M. Locatelli M
19 K. Thuram M
22 W. McKennie M
21 F. Miretti M
10 K. Yildiz M
30 J. David F
Bench (12)
1 M. Perin
23 C. Pinsoglio
4 F. Gatti
7 F. Conceicao
8 T. Koopmeiners
11 E. Zhegrova
17 V. Adzic
18 F. Kostic
20 L. Openda
25 Joao Mario
32 J. Cabal
40 J. Rouhi

Coach: Luciano Spalletti

Benfica

4-2-3-1
1 A. Trubin G
17 A. Dedic D
44 T. Araujo D
30 N. Otamendi D
26 S. Dahl D
18 L. Barreiro M
8 F. Aursnes M
25 G. Prestianni M
10 G. Sudakov M
21 A. Schjelderup M
14 V. Pavlidis F
Bench (12)
50 D. Ferreira
4 A. Silva
5 E. Barrenechea
7 Bruma
9 F. Ivanovic
16 Manu
58 D. Banjaqui
62 J. Neto
64 G. Oliveira
67 R. Rego
84 J. Rego
86 D. Prioste

Coach: Jose Mourinho

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Gozubuyuk · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.