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Champions League
Referee: D Siebert
Newcastle
S S U T U
3–0
Full-time
PSV Eindhoven
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Newcastle PSV Eindhoven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
1,8
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,2
4,5
Scored
1,8
3,3
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+2,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
3,2
4,3
Scored
2,2
2,5
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,40 xG 0,34
54% Possession 46%
11 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 1
1 Offside 1
4 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Newcastle PSV Eindhoven
1–0 Y. Wissa ⚽
Joelinton
8′
Yoane Wissa ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
10′
Bruno Guimarães 🟨
26′
2–0 A. Gordon ⚽
Y. Wissa
30′
34′
🟨 Kiliann Sildillia
45′
🔁 A. Obispo
↦ A. Salah-Eddine
Half-time 2–0
L. Miley 🔁
↦ Bruno Guimaraes
48′
Sandro Tonali 🟨
54′
62′
🟨 Yarek Gasiorowski
62′
🔁 C. Driouech
↦ I. Perisic
62′
🔁 E. Bajraktarevic
↦ D. Man
3–0 H. Barnes ⚽
65′
A. Elanga 🔁
↦ A. Gordon
72′
N. Woltemade 🔁
↦ Y. Wissa
72′
J. Ramsey 🔁
↦ Joelinton
72′
73′
🔁 R. Flamingo
↦ G. Til
J. Willock 🔁
↦ K. Trippier
87′
91′
🟨 Joey Veerman
92′
🟨 Armando Obispo
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Newcastle

4-3-3
1 N. Pope G
2 K. Trippier D
12 M. Thiaw D
4 S. Botman D
3 L. Hall D
39 Bruno Guimaraes M
8 S. Tonali M
7 Joelinton M
11 H. Barnes F
9 Y. Wissa F
10 A. Gordon F
Bench (10)
32 A. Ramsdale
31 M. Thompson
20 A. Elanga
27 N. Woltemade
28 J. Willock
37 A. Murphy
41 J. Ramsey
61 L. Shahar
62 S. Neave
67 L. Miley

Coach: Eddie Howe

PSV Eindhoven

4-2-3-1
32 M. Kovar G
25 K. Sildillia D
22 J. Schouten D
3 Y. Gasiorowski D
2 A. Salah-Eddine D
17 Mauro Junior M
23 J. Veerman M
27 D. Man M
20 G. Til M
5 I. Perisic M
10 P. Wanner F
Bench (9)
24 N. Schiks
51 T. Smolenaars
4 A. Obispo
6 R. Flamingo
11 C. Driouech
19 E. Bajraktarevic
31 N. Fernandez
35 J. van den Berg
50 N. Verkooijen

Coach: Peter Bosz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Siebert · 158 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.