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Champions League
Referee: R Obrenovic
Bayern Munich
U S S S S
2–0
Full-time
St. Gilloise
T U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bayern Munich St. Gilloise
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
5,2
2,7
Scored
4,2
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+3,2
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
100%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
4,2
3,7
Scored
3,0
1,2
Conceded
1,2
2,5
Goal diff per game
+1,8
-1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

3,14 xG 0,88
74% Possession 26%
14 Shots 5
4 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 1
9 Free kicks against 8
3 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0

Match report

Bayern Munich St. Gilloise
Min-jae Kim 🟨
18′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 H. Kane ⚽
M. Olise
52′
2–0 H. Kane ⚽
55′
Michael Olise 🟨
58′
Min-jae Kim 🟨
63′
Min-jae Kim 🟥
63′
66′
🟨 Promise David
A. Davies 🔁
↦ R. Guerreiro
67′
H. Ito 🔁
↦ L. Karl
67′
67′
🔁 M. Fuseini
↦ A. Ait El Hadj
67′
🔁 L. Patris
↦ R. Florucz
67′
🔁 F. Leysen
↦ Guilherme Smith
Michael Olise ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
79′
82′
🔁 R. Schoofs
↦ A. Zorgane
82′
🔁 S. Keita
↦ P. David
S. Gnabry 🔁
↦ M. Olise
92′
L. Goretzka 🔁
↦ J. Kimmich
92′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Bayern Munich

4-2-3-1
1 M. Neuer G
22 R. Guerreiro D
4 J. Tah D
3 Kim Min-Jae D
20 T. Bischof D
6 J. Kimmich M
45 A. Pavlovic M
17 M. Olise M
42 L. Karl M
14 L. Diaz M
9 H. Kane F
Bench (9)
26 S. Ulreich
40 J. Urbig
7 S. Gnabry
8 L. Goretzka
10 J. Musiala
19 A. Davies
21 H. Ito
30 C. Kiala
47 D. Daiber

Coach: Vincent Kompany

St. Gilloise

3-4-2-1
37 K. Scherpen G
5 K. Mac Allister D
16 C. Burgess D
26 R. Sykes D
25 A. Khalaili M
8 A. Zorgane M
6 K. Van De Perre M
11 Guilherme Smith M
30 R. Florucz F
10 A. Ait El Hadj F
12 P. David F
Bench (8)
1 V. Chambaere
3 M. T. Barry
4 M. Rasmussen
7 M. Fuseini
17 R. Schoofs
27 L. Patris
32 S. Keita
48 F. Leysen

Coach: David Hubert

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

R Obrenovic · 32 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.