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Champions League
Referee: S Gozubuyuk
Dortmund
S T S S S
2–0
Full-time
Atalanta
T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dortmund Atalanta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
3,2
2,2
Scored
2,0
1,8
Conceded
1,2
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 44%
38%
50%
Points per game
1,4
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
75%
63%
Both score Ø 51%
63%
38%
Average goals
4,5
2,5
Scored
2,4
1,3
Conceded
2,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,09 xG 0,46
44% Possession 56%
9 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Dortmund Atalanta
1–0 S. Guirassy ⚽
J. Ryerson
3′
Luca Reggiani 🟨
18′
40′
🟨 Berat Djimsiti
40′
🟨 Odilon Kossounou
2–0 M. Beier ⚽
S. Guirassy
42′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🟨 Gianluca Scamacca
46′
🔁 I. Hien
↦ B. Djimsiti
46′
🔁 N. Krstovic
↦ G. Scamacca
Waldemar Anton 🟨
48′
63′
🔁 K. Sulemana
↦ M. De Roon
C. Chukwuemeka 🔁
↦ J. Brandt
70′
K. Adeyemi 🔁
↦ M. Beier
70′
72′
🔁 R. Bellanova
↦ D. Zappacosta
82′
🔁 L. Samardzic
↦ N. Zalewski
M. Sabitzer 🔁
↦ F. Nmecha
83′
F. Silva 🔁
↦ S. Guirassy
83′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Dortmund

3-4-2-1
1 G. Kobel G
49 L. Reggiani D
3 W. Anton D
5 R. Bensebaini D
26 J. Ryerson M
7 J. Bellingham M
8 F. Nmecha M
24 D. Svensson M
14 M. Beier F
10 J. Brandt F
9 S. Guirassy F
Bench (12)
31 S. Ostrzinski
33 A. Meyer
2 Y. Couto
6 S. Ozcan
17 C. Chukwuemeka
20 M. Sabitzer
21 F. Silva
27 K. Adeyemi
40 S. Inacio
42 A. Kabar
45 D. Krevsun
47 E. Benkara

Coach: Niko Kovac

Atalanta

3-4-2-1
29 M. Carnesecchi G
3 O. Kossounou D
19 B. Djimsiti D
23 S. Kolasinac D
77 D. Zappacosta M
15 M. De Roon M
13 Ederson M
47 L. Bernasconi M
8 M. Pasalic F
59 N. Zalewski F
9 G. Scamacca F
Bench (12)
31 F. Rossi
57 M. Sportiello
4 I. Hien
5 M. Bakker
6 Y. Musah
7 K. Sulemana
10 L. Samardzic
16 R. Bellanova
42 G. Scalvini
45 D. Vavassori
69 H. Ahanor
90 N. Krstovic

Coach: Raffaele Palladino

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Gozubuyuk · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.