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Champions League
Referee: M Oliver
St. Gilloise
S U S T U
1–0
Full-time
Atalanta
S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gilloise Atalanta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
0%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,7
2,7
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 43%
29%
57%
Points per game
0,9
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
71%
71%
Both score Ø 43%
43%
43%
Average goals
3,4
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,4
Conceded
2,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,4
+0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,00 xG 0,83
36% Possession 64%
8 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 7
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
0 Corners 6
0 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

St. Gilloise Atalanta
Christian Burgess 🟨
10′
28′
🟨 Lazar Samardžić
Half-time 0–0
51′
🔁 K. Sulemana
↦ A. Lookman
52′
🔁 M. De Roon
↦ Y. Musah
52′
🔁 C. De Ketelaere
↦ L. Samardzic
M. Fuseini 🔁
↦ R. Florucz
57′
R. Schoofs 🔁
↦ A. Zorgane
57′
61′
🔁 G. Scamacca
↦ N. Krstovic
69′
🟨 Honest Ahanor
1–0 A. Khalaili ⚽
A. Ait El Hadj
70′
74′
🔁 M. Pasalic
↦ O. Kossounou
Ross Sykes 🟨
77′
O. Niang 🔁
↦ Guilherme Smith
85′
F. Leysen 🔁
↦ A. Ait El Hadj
92′
93′
🟨 Gianluca Scamacca
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

St. Gilloise

5-4-1
37 K. Scherpen G
25 A. Khalaili D
5 K. Mac Allister D
16 C. Burgess D
26 R. Sykes D
27 L. Patris D
30 R. Florucz M
8 A. Zorgane M
6 K. Van De Perre M
11 Guilherme Smith M
10 A. Ait El Hadj F
Bench (9)
1 V. Chambaere
7 M. Fuseini
17 R. Schoofs
22 O. Niang
32 S. Keita
33 S. Berradi
35 N. Huygevelde
39 Y. Hamoutahar
48 F. Leysen

Coach: David Hubert

Atalanta

3-4-2-1
57 M. Sportiello G
3 O. Kossounou D
4 I. Hien D
69 H. Ahanor D
77 D. Zappacosta M
6 Y. Musah M
13 Ederson M
47 L. Bernasconi M
10 L. Samardzic F
11 A. Lookman F
90 N. Krstovic F
Bench (11)
29 M. Carnesecchi
31 F. Rossi
7 K. Sulemana
8 M. Pasalic
9 G. Scamacca
15 M. De Roon
17 C. De Ketelaere
19 B. Djimsiti
23 S. Kolasinac
42 G. Scalvini
59 N. Zalewski

Coach: Raffaele Palladino

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Oliver · 207 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.