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Champions League
Referee: J Manzano
Galatasaray
S T T S S
1–0
Full-time
Liverpool
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Galatasaray Liverpool
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
4,2
3,2
Scored
2,7
2,3
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 10/8 matches
Win Ø 58%
40%
75%
Points per game
1,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
50%
63%
Both score Ø 44%
50%
38%
Average goals
3,2
3,5
Scored
1,6
2,5
Conceded
1,6
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,34 xG 1,31
46% Possession 54%
15 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 3
7 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 4
8 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

30. Sep -25 Galatasaray – Liverpool 1–0

Match report

Galatasaray Liverpool
1–0 M. Lemina ⚽
V. Osimhen
7′
33′
🟨 Miloš Kerkez
Half-time 1–0
55′
🟨 Virgil van Dijk
60′
🔁 J. Frimpong
↦ M. Salah
60′
🔁 A. Robertson
↦ M. Kerkez
72′
ℹ️ Uğurcan Çakır
VAR: Goal cancelled
73′
🔁 C. Gakpo
↦ F. Wirtz
R. Sallai 🔁
↦ M. Lemina
77′
Y. Akgun 🔁
↦ N. Lang
77′
S. Boey 🔁
↦ Gabriel Sara
87′
88′
🟨 Ryan Gravenberch
Davinson Sánchez 🟨
90′
I. Gundogan 🔁
↦ L. Torreira
93′
E. Elmali 🔁
↦ B. A. Yilmaz
93′
95′
🟨 Dominik Szoboszlai
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Galatasaray

4-2-3-1
1 U. Cakir G
90 W. Singo D
6 D. Sanchez D
42 A. Bardakci D
4 I. Jakobs D
34 L. Torreira M
99 M. Lemina M
53 B. A. Yilmaz M
8 Gabriel Sara M
77 N. Lang M
45 V. Osimhen F
Bench (12)
19 G. Guvenc
12 B. Sen
20 I. Gundogan
7 R. Sallai
10 L. Sane
11 Y. Akgun
17 E. Elmali
23 K. Ayhan
9 M. Icardi
21 A. Kutucu
93 S. Boey
22 Y. Asprilla

Coach: Okan Buruk

Liverpool

4-2-3-1
25 G. Mamardashvili G
2 J. Gomez D
5 I. Konate D
4 V. van Dijk D
6 M. Kerkez D
38 R. Gravenberch M
10 A. Mac Allister M
11 M. Salah M
8 D. Szoboszlai M
7 F. Wirtz M
22 H. Ekitike F
Bench (10)
74 K. Misciur
28 F. Woodman
18 C. Gakpo
30 J. Frimpong
17 C. Jones
68 K. Morrison
65 A. Nallo
26 A. Robertson
42 T. Nyoni
73 R. Ngumoha

Coach: Arne Slot

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Manzano · 21 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.