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Champions League
Referee: E Eskas
Atalanta
S S T U U
1–6
Full-time
Bayern Munich
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Atalanta Bayern Munich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,3
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,5
4,3
Scored
1,8
3,3
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+2,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 10/8 matches
Win Ø 69%
50%
88%
Points per game
1,6
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 74%
60%
88%
Both score Ø 58%
40%
75%
Average goals
2,7
3,8
Scored
1,4
2,8
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

1,68 xG 4,84
31% Possession 69%
11 Shots 25
3 Shots on target 13
4 Blocked shots 4
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 7
1 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Atalanta Bayern Munich
12′
⚽ J. Stanisic 0–1
S. Gnabry
22′
⚽ M. Olise 0–2
D. Upamecano
25′
⚽ S. Gnabry 0–3
M. Olise
39′
🟨 Konrad Laimer
Half-time 0–3
B. Djimsiti 🔁
↦ G. Scamacca
46′
46′
🔁 A. Davies
↦ K. Laimer
46′
🔁 J. Musiala
↦ S. Gnabry
52′
⚽ N. Jackson 0–4
L. Diaz
Y. Musah 🔁
↦ N. Zalewski
55′
H. Ahanor 🔁
↦ S. Kolasinac
55′
64′
⚽ M. Olise 0–5
A. Davies
R. Bellanova 🔁
↦ D. Zappacosta
67′
67′
⚽ J. Musiala 0–6
N. Jackson
68′
🔁 L. Goretzka
↦ A. Pavlovic
71′
🔁 T. Bischof
↦
L. Samardzic 🔁
↦ K. Sulemana
73′
77′
🟨 Michael Olise
Yunus Musah 🟨
83′
84′
🟨 Joshua Kimmich
86′
🔁 R. Guerreiro
↦ J. Stanisic
1–6 M. Pasalic ⚽
N. Krstovic
90′
Full-time 1–6

Line-ups

Atalanta

4-4-2
29 M. Carnesecchi G
77 D. Zappacosta D
4 I. Hien D
23 S. Kolasinac D
47 L. Bernasconi D
7 K. Sulemana M
15 M. De Roon M
8 M. Pasalic M
59 N. Zalewski M
90 N. Krstovic F
9 G. Scamacca F
Bench (11)
57 M. Sportiello
31 F. Rossi
19 B. Djimsiti
16 R. Bellanova
6 Y. Musah
45 D. Vavassori
48 F. Cassa
69 H. Ahanor
5 M. Bakker
3 O. Kossounou
10 L. Samardzic

Coach: Raffaele Palladino

Bayern Munich

4-2-3-1
40 J. Urbig G
44 J. Stanisic D
2 D. Upamecano D
4 J. Tah D
27 K. Laimer D
6 J. Kimmich M
45 A. Pavlovic M
17 M. Olise M
7 S. Gnabry M
14 L. Diaz M
11 N. Jackson F
Bench (10)
26 S. Ulreich
37 L. Prescott
8 L. Goretzka
22 R. Guerreiro
19 A. Davies
20 T. Bischof
42 L. Karl
9 H. Kane
3 Kim Min-Jae
10 J. Musiala

Coach: Vincent Kompany

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

E Eskas · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.