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Champions League
Referee: M Guida
Newcastle
T S T S T
1–1
Full-time
Barcelona
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Newcastle Barcelona
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
100%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
4,5
3,2
Scored
2,5
2,0
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 10/8 matches
Win Ø 62%
60%
63%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 90%
80%
100%
Both score Ø 74%
60%
88%
Average goals
3,6
4,5
Scored
2,6
2,8
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,6
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,30 xG 1,42
46% Possession 54%
16 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
9 Corners 4
6 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

18. Sep -25 Newcastle – Barcelona 1–2

Match report

Newcastle Barcelona
Sandro Tonali 🟨
34′
Half-time 0–0
A. Gordon 🔁
↦ W. Osula
67′
J. Murphy 🔁
↦ A. Elanga
67′
V. Livramento 🔁
↦ K. Trippier
67′
68′
🟨 João Cancelo
70′
🔁 D. Olmo
↦ Pedri
70′
🔁 M. Rashford
↦ R. Lewandowski
73′
🔁 M. Casado
↦ M. Bernal
1–0 H. Barnes ⚽
J. Murphy
86′
88′
🔁 F. Torres
↦ Fermín
88′
🔁 X. Espart
↦ R. Araujo
J. Willock 🔁
↦ H. Barnes
90′
90′
⚽ Lamine Yamal 1–1
Joe Willock 🟨
93′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Newcastle

4-3-3
32 A. Ramsdale G
2 K. Trippier D
12 M. Thiaw D
33 D. Burn D
3 L. Hall D
41 J. Ramsey M
8 S. Tonali M
7 Joelinton M
20 A. Elanga F
18 W. Osula F
11 H. Barnes F
Bench (12)
26 J. Ruddy
58 A. Harris
1 N. Pope
28 J. Willock
9 Y. Wissa
4 S. Botman
10 A. Gordon
27 N. Woltemade
23 J. Murphy
21 V. Livramento
37 A. Murphy
62 S. Neave

Coach: Eddie Howe

Barcelona

4-2-3-1
13 J. Garcia G
4 R. Araujo D
5 P. Cubarsi D
18 G. Martin D
2 J. Cancelo D
22 M. Bernal M
8 Pedri M
10 Lamine Yamal M
16 Fermín M
11 Raphinha M
9 R. Lewandowski F
Bench (12)
25 W. Szczesny
31 D. Kochen
7 F. Torres
6 Gavi
28 R. Bardghji
36 A. Cortes
20 D. Olmo
14 M. Rashford
24 E. Garcia
17 M. Casado
43 T. Marques
42 X. Espart

Coach: Hansi Flick

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Guida · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.