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Champions League
Referee: S Gozubuyuk
Ath Madrid
S S S T S
5–2
Full-time
Tottenham
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Tottenham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,2
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
4,3
3,5
Scored
2,5
1,0
Conceded
1,8
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 10/8 matches
Win Ø 57%
50%
63%
Points per game
1,7
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
90%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
90%
25%
Average goals
4,3
3,0
Scored
2,4
2,1
Conceded
1,9
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 4–1

3,12 xG 1,41
58% Possession 42%
11 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 2
0 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Ath Madrid Tottenham
4′
🟨 Djed Spence
1–0 M. Llorente ⚽
J. Alvarez
6′
2–0 A. Griezmann ⚽
14′
3–0 J. Alvarez ⚽
15′
17′
🔁 G. Vicario
↦ A. Kinsky
4–0 R. Le Normand ⚽
A. Griezmann
22′
26′
⚽ P. Porro 4–1
Richarlison
Half-time 4–1
46′
🔁 D. Solanke
↦ R. Kolo Muani
46′
🔁 C. Gallagher
↦ M. Tel
5–1 J. Alvarez ⚽
A. Griezmann
55′
60′
🟨 Richarlison
62′
🟨 Archie Gray
68′
🔁 J. Palhinha
↦ Richarlison
A. Sorloth 🔁
↦ M. Llorente
69′
P. Barrios 🔁
↦ A. Lookman
69′
N. Gonzalez 🔁
↦ J. Alvarez
73′
76′
⚽ D. Solanke 5–2
P. Porro
80′
🟨 Kevin Danso
Koke 🔁
↦ A. Griezmann
81′
83′
🔁 X. Simons
↦ D. Spence
85′
🟨 Cristian Romero
Full-time 5–2

Line-ups

Ath Madrid

4-4-2
13 J. Oblak G
18 M. Pubill D
24 R. Le Normand D
17 D. Hancko D
3 M. Ruggeri D
20 G. Simeone M
14 M. Llorente M
5 J. Cardoso M
22 A. Lookman M
7 A. Griezmann F
19 J. Alvarez F
Bench (12)
1 J. Musso
6 Koke
9 A. Sorloth
2 J. M. Gimenez
23 N. Gonzalez
16 N. Molina
21 O. Vargas
15 C. Lenglet
10 A. Baena
11 T. Almada
8 P. Barrios
34 J. Diaz

Coach: Diego Simeone

Tottenham

3-4-3
31 A. Kinsky G
4 K. Danso D
17 C. Romero D
37 M. van de Ven D
23 P. Porro M
14 A. Gray M
29 P. M. Sarr M
24 D. Spence M
39 R. Kolo Muani F
9 Richarlison F
11 M. Tel F
Bench (9)
40 B. Austin
1 G. Vicario
6 J. Palhinha
3 R. Dragusin
76 J. Rowswell
19 D. Solanke
22 C. Gallagher
7 X. Simons
52 C. Olusesi

Coach: Igor Tudor

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Gozubuyuk · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.