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Champions League
Referee: F Letexier
Arsenal
S T T S T
0–0
Full-time
Sp Lisbon
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Arsenal Sp Lisbon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,2
3,5
Scored
1,2
2,3
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 73%
91%
55%
Points per game
2,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
55%
82%
Both score Ø 50%
36%
64%
Average goals
2,9
3,4
Scored
2,5
2,0
Conceded
0,5
1,4
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,64 xG 0,29
50% Possession 50%
15 Shots 8
1 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
8 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

7. Apr -26 Sp Lisbon – Arsenal 0–1 26. Nov -24 Sp Lisbon – Arsenal 1–5 16. Mar -23 Arsenal – Sp Lisbon 1–1 9. Mar -23 Sp Lisbon – Arsenal 2–2

Match report

Arsenal Sp Lisbon
Half-time 0–0
K. Havertz 🔁
↦ V. Gyökeres
56′
M. Dowman 🔁
↦ N. Madueke
63′
71′
🔁 D. Braganca
↦ Pote
71′
🔁 G. Quenda
↦ G. Catamo
77′
🔁 J. Simoes
↦ H. Morita
79′
🟨 Maximiliano Araújo
Gabriel Jesus 🔁
↦ E. Eze
79′
L. Trossard 🔁
↦ G. Martinelli
79′
85′
🔁 R. Nel
↦ Trincao
85′
🔁 G. Vagiannidis
↦ E. Quaresma
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Arsenal

4-2-3-1
1 D. Raya G
3 C. Mosquera D
2 W. Saliba D
6 Gabriel D
5 P. Hincapie D
36 M. Zubimendi M
41 D. Rice M
20 N. Madueke M
10 E. Eze M
11 G. Martinelli M
14 V. Gyökeres F
Bench (11)
13 K. Arrizabalaga
35 T. Setford
9 Gabriel Jesus
4 B. White
29 K. Havertz
49 M. Lewis-Skelly
56 M. Dowman
89 M. Salmon
16 C. Norgaard
19 L. Trossard
39 H. Dudziak

Coach: Mikel Arteta

Sp Lisbon

4-2-3-1
1 R. Silva G
72 E. Quaresma D
26 O. Diomande D
25 G. Inacio D
20 M. Araujo D
42 M. Hjulmand M
5 H. Morita M
10 G. Catamo M
17 Trincao M
8 Pote M
97 L. Suarez F
Bench (12)
12 J. Virginia
14 G. Kochorashvili
23 D. Braganca
15 S. Faye
90 R. Nel
52 J. Simoes
58 F. Goncalves
91 R. Mangas
13 G. Vagiannidis
6 Z. Debast
7 G. Quenda
70 S. Blopa

Coach: Rui Borges

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

F Letexier · 176 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.