← Match Finder
Europa League
Referee: T Stieler
Sp Lisbon
U S S S S
2–2
Full-time
Arsenal
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Sp Lisbon Arsenal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,7
Scored
2,0
2,3
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
2,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
3,0
1,8
Scored
2,5
1,3
Conceded
0,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,21 xG 1,99
32% Possession 68%
10 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 3
6 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 9
0 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 6
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Sp Lisbon Arsenal
Sebastián Coates 🟨
22′
22′
⚽ W. Saliba 0–1
Fábio Vieira
23′
🟨 Oleksandr Zinchenko
1–1 Gonçalo Inácio ⚽
M. Edwards
34′
43′
🟨 Gabriel Martinelli
Half-time 2–1
2–1 Paulinho ⚽
55′
Hidemasa Morita 🟨
58′
62′
⚽ H. Morita 3–1
own goal
63′
🔁 T. Tomiyasu
↦ O. Zinchenko
Nuno Santos 🔁
↦ Trincão
71′
71′
🔁 T. Partey
↦ Jorginho
71′
🔁 Gabriel Magalhães
↦ J. Kiwior
71′
🔁 E. Smith Rowe
↦ R. Nelson
O. Diomande 🔁
↦ Ricardo Esgaio
76′
Youssef Chermiti 🔁
↦ Paulinho
76′
I. Fatawu 🔁
↦ M. Edwards
89′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Sp Lisbon

3-4-2-1
1 Adán G
3 J. St. Juste D
4 S. Coates D
25 Gonçalo Inácio D
47 Ricardo Esgaio M
5 H. Morita M
28 Pote M
2 Matheus Reis M
10 M. Edwards F
17 Trincão F
20 Paulinho F
Bench (12)
11 Nuno Santos
26 O. Diomande
79 Youssef Chermiti
18 I. Fatawu
12 F. Israel
33 Arthur Gomes
16 Rochinha
77 Jovane Cabral
84 Dário Essugo
13 Luís Carlos
82 Mateus Fernandes
32 M. Tanlongo

Coach: Ruben Amorim

Arsenal

4-3-3
30 M. Turner G
4 B. White D
12 W. Saliba D
15 J. Kiwior D
35 O. Zinchenko D
21 Fábio Vieira M
20 Jorginho M
34 G. Xhaka M
7 B. Saka F
11 Gabriel Martinelli F
24 R. Nelson F
Bench (11)
18 T. Tomiyasu
5 T. Partey
6 Gabriel Magalhães
10 E. Smith Rowe
1 A. Ramsdale
97 R. Walters
71 C. Sagoe
72 M. Smith
41 Mauro Bandeira
16 R. Holding
56 J. Hillson

Coach: Mikel Arteta

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

T Stieler · 148 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.