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Champions League
Referee: Kadir Saglam
Vardar Skopje
S U S T
0–2
Full-time
KuPS
T U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vardar Skopje KuPS
Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,8
2,0
Scored
1,8
0,8
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

Vardar Skopje KuPS
Mislav Matić 🟨
30′
45′
⚽ B. Magassa 0–1
C. Antwi
Half-time 0–1
G. Rodrigues 🔁
↦ J. Torres
46′
49′
⚽ B. Armah 0–2
M. Manevski 🔁
↦ I. Puleio
53′
D. Danev 🔁
↦ A. Omeragic
62′
N. Bosancic 🔁
↦ D. Castaneda
62′
62′
🔁 P. Parzyszek
↦ J. J. Moreno Ciorciari
68′
🟨 Gustav Engvall
68′
🔁 S. Savolainen
↦ A. Puukko
68′
🔁 S. Touray
↦ G. Engvall
Nemanja Bosančić 🟨
70′
Nemanja Bosančić 🟨
74′
Nemanja Bosančić 🟥
74′
D. Babunski 🔁
↦ Miguel Pires
76′
Boban Nikolov 🟨
80′
86′
🔁 S. Heiskanen
↦ B. Armah
86′
🔁 C. Kabuye
↦ T. Jyry
Dimitar Danev 🟨
92′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Vardar Skopje

4-4-2
95 D. Taleski G
21 G. Jankulov D
14 D. Velkovski D
4 M. Matic D
34 I. Puleio M
99 J. Torres M
8 B. Nikolov M
32 D. Castaneda M
71 Miguel Pires M
9 A. Omeragic F
10 G. Zakaric F
Bench (12)
1 D. Dikovski
3 M. Manevski
5 F. Najdovski
6 D. Babunski
7 G. Rodrigues
17 E. Spahiu
18 N. Mishkovski
22 D. Todorovski
23 F. Duranski
27 F. Cvetkovski
49 D. Danev
88 N. Bosancic

Coach: Cristian Fabbiani

KuPS

4-2-3-1
1 J. Kreidl G
29 A. Puukko D
28 B. Magassa D
4 K. Adams D
25 C. Antwi D
10 V. R. Gasc M
8 P. Pennanen M
16 T. Jyry M
9 G. Engvall F
24 B. Armah D
11 J. J. Moreno Ciorciari F
Bench (12)
12 H. Riihimaki
37 K. Silen
2 K. Ward
3 S. Heiskanen
6 S. Savolainen
13 N. Kujasalo
17 A. Heinonen
19 C. Kabuye
20 P. Parzyszek
22 S. Touray
23 A. Lotjonen
33 T. Hamalainen

Coach: Miika Nuutinen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Kadir Saglam · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
29,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.