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Champions League
Referee: Klim Zabroda
Ararat-Armenia
U U S T T
2–0
Full-time
Riga
U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ararat-Armenia Riga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

Ararat-Armenia Riga
B. R. Wilson Valdez 🔁
↦ A. Malis
44′
Half-time 0–0
54′
🟨 Muhammed Badamosi
1–0 H. Oliveira ⚽
K. Muradyan
63′
68′
🟨 Salah Oulad M'Hand
72′
🟥 Frenks Orols
A. Ambartsumyan 🔁
↦ A. Tera
72′
A. Ndour 🔁
↦ Sandro Lima
72′
Franca Carlos 🔁
↦ Z. Shaghoyan
73′
76′
🔁 K. Zviedris
↦ R. Aouani
86′
🔁 Reginaldo Ramires
↦ M. Badamosi
86′
🔁 M. Diop
↦ S. Oulad M'Hand
2–0 Franca Carlos ⚽
E. Grigoryan
86′
Z. Banjaqui 🔁
↦ A. Serobyan
88′
95′
🔁 Iago Siqueira
↦ O. Galo
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Ararat-Armenia

4-3-3
98 Joao Bravim G
13 K. Hovhannisyan D
3 Junior Julio D
47 A. Malis D
16 E. Grigoryan D
2 H. Oliveira D
20 A. Tera M
19 K. Muradyan M
77 A. Serobyan M
91 Sandro Lima F
7 Z. Shaghoyan M
Bench (12)
1 A. Nersesyan
5 Luis Felipe
6 M. Ayvazyan
9 A. Eloyan
10 A. Ambartsumyan
11 Z. Banjaqui
14 B. Pereira
17 M. Carlier
25 A. Ndour
43 B. R. Wilson Valdez
90 P. Ayongo
95 Franca Carlos

Coach: Tulipa

Riga

4-3-2-1
91 F. Orols G
33 Paulo Eduardo D
5 K. Wassom D
21 B. Musah D
17 A. Salazar D
13 R. Jurkovskis D
40 A. Ankrah M
4 O. Galo M
18 S. Oulad M'Hand M
7 R. Aouani M
19 M. Badamosi F
Bench (10)
1 K. Zviedris
44 M. Kazainis
3 Abner
8 Iago Siqueira
10 Reginaldo Ramires
22 M. Diop
23 M. Tonisevs
25 A. Taiwo
70 Juan Christian
99 Caio Ferreira

Coach: Adrian Gula

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.