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Conference League
Referee: A Aghayev
KuPS
U S T U U
0–2
Full-time
Lech Poznan
S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

KuPS Lech Poznan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
1,8
3,3
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

0,06 xG 3,23
40% Possession 60%
1 Shots 28
0 Shots on target 12
1 Blocked shots 7
10 Goalkeeper saves 0
1 Corners 8
0 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0

Match report

KuPS Lech Poznan
9′
⚽ A. Kozubal 0–1
M. Ishak
Joslyn Luyeye-Lutumba 🟥
12′
41′
⚽ T. Ismaheel 0–2
M. Ishak
Half-time 0–2
46′
🔁 J. Moutinho
↦ M. Gurgul
46′
🔁 G. Thordarson
↦ A. Kozubal
62′
🔁 P. Walemark
↦ F. Jagiello
62′
🔁 M. Skrzypczak
↦ A. Milic
77′
🔁 Y. Agnero
↦ M. Ishak
Petteri Pennanen 🟨
88′
88′
🟨 Joel Pereira
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

KuPS

4-2-3-1
1 J. Kreidl G
29 A. Puukko
23 A. Lotjonen D
33 T. Hamalainen D
24 B. Armah D
10 V. R. Gasc M
13 N. Kujasalo M
21 J. Luyeye-Lutumba M
34 O. Ruoppi M
8 P. Pennanen M
9 G. Engvall F
Bench (5)
12 H. Riihimaki
22 V. Lahtela
26 N. Mattila
28 J. Kivijarvi
32 R. Tikkanen

Coach: Miika Nuutinen

Lech Poznan

4-2-3-1
41 B. Mrozek G
2 J. Pereira D
27 W. Monka D
16 A. Milic D
15 M. Gurgul D
43 A. Kozubal M
24 F. Jagiello M
88 T. Ismaheel M
99 P. Rodriguez M
77 L. Palma M
9 M. Ishak F
Bench (11)
33 M. Pruchniewski
1 P. Andreev
3 A. Douglas
4 J. Moutinho
6 T. Ouma
7 Y. Agnero
10 P. Walemark
14 L. Bengtsson
20 R. Gumny
23 G. Thordarson
72 M. Skrzypczak

Coach: Niels Frederiksen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.