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Conference League
Referee: V Fotias
Lech Poznan
T S S S S
1–0
Full-time
KuPS
S T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lech Poznan KuPS
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,3
1,8
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 36%
57%
14%
Points per game
1,9
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
57%
29%
Both score Ø 57%
71%
43%
Average goals
3,1
1,9
Scored
2,0
0,9
Conceded
1,1
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,9
-0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,59 xG 0,67
57% Possession 43%
16 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 1
1 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

19. Feb -26 KuPS – Lech Poznan 0–2

Match report

Lech Poznan KuPS
9′
🔁 R. Tikkanen
↦ A. Puukko
Antonio Milić 🟨
29′
Half-time 0–0
Y. Agnero 🔁
↦ M. Ishak
60′
A. Gholizadeh 🔁
↦ P. Walemark
60′
D. Hakans 🔁
↦ T. Ismaheel
60′
1–0 P. Rodriguez ⚽
L. Palma
65′
A. Douglas 🔁
↦ A. Milic
70′
G. Thordarson 🔁
↦ P. Rodriguez
75′
79′
🔁 A. Heinonen
↦
Daniel Håkans 🟨
84′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Lech Poznan

4-1-4-1
41 B. Mrozek G
2 J. Pereira D
72 M. Skrzypczak D
16 A. Milic D
15 M. Gurgul D
43 A. Kozubal M
88 T. Ismaheel M
10 P. Walemark M
99 P. Rodriguez M
77 L. Palma M
9 M. Ishak F
Bench (12)
1 P. Andreev
33 M. Pruchniewski
3 A. Douglas
4 J. Moutinho
6 T. Ouma
7 Y. Agnero
8 A. Gholizadeh
11 D. Hakans
14 L. Bengtsson
20 R. Gumny
23 G. Thordarson
27 W. Monka

Coach: Niels Frederiksen

KuPS

4-2-3-1
1 J. Kreidl G
29 A. Puukko
33 T. Hamalainen D
23 A. Lotjonen D
25 C. Antwi D
13 N. Kujasalo M
10 V. R. Gasc M
24 B. Armah M
34 O. Ruoppi M
8 P. Pennanen M
9 G. Engvall F
Bench (6)
12 H. Riihimaki
17 A. Heinonen
22 V. Lahtela
26 N. Mattila
28 J. Kivijarvi
32 R. Tikkanen

Coach: Miika Nuutinen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

V Fotias · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.