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Conference League
Referee: G Correia
Jagiellonia
T S T U S
1–0
Full-time
KuPS
T T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Jagiellonia KuPS
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,2
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 9/3 matches
Win Ø 45%
56%
33%
Points per game
2,1
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
44%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,4
2,0
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
0,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,26 xG 0,72
43% Possession 57%
17 Shots 6
9 Shots on target 0
6 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 7
7 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Jagiellonia KuPS
Half-time 1–0
1–0 A. Pululu ⚽
N. Wojtuszek
51′
63′
🔁 J. Voutilainen
↦ M. Toure
63′
🔁 P. Golubickas
↦ P. Pennanen
D. Drachal 🔁
↦ A. Pozo
68′
L. Flach 🔁
↦ D. Rallis
68′
73′
🔁 B. Armah
↦ T. Hamalainen
L. Prip 🔁
↦ B. Mazurek
79′
82′
🔁 A. Sadiku
↦ D. Arifi
82′
🔁 J. Luyeye-Lutumba
↦ C. Antwi
A. Jackson 🔁
↦ O. Pietuszewski
87′
89′
🟨 Samuli Miettinen
Bernardo Vital 🟨
92′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Jagiellonia

4-3-3
50 S. Abramowicz G
15 N. Wojtuszek D
13 B. Vital D
3 D. Stojinovic D
27 B. Wdowik D
9 D. Rallis M
6 T. Romanczuk M
86 B. Mazurek M
7 A. Pozo F
10 A. Pululu F
80 O. Pietuszewski F
Bench (11)
22 M. Piekutowski
66 A. Damasiewicz
4 Y. Kobayashi
5 C. Polak
8 D. Drachal
17 Y. Sylla
18 L. Prip
21 S. Lozano
25 A. Jackson
31 L. Flach
55 T. Hirosawa

Coach: Adrian Siemieniec

KuPS

4-2-3-1
1 J. Kreidl G
33 T. Hamalainen D
15 I. Cisse D
16 S. Miettinen D
25 C. Antwi D
13 J. Oksanen M
10 D. Arifi M
20 M. Toure M
34 O. Ruoppi M
8 P. Pennanen M
9 P. Parzyszek F
Bench (11)
12 A. Hakala
37 M. Pitkanen
4 P. Ricardo
7 J. Voutilainen
11 A. Sadiku
21 J. Luyeye-Lutumba
22 P. Konate
23 A. Lotjonen
24 B. Armah
28 S. Seidu
35 P. Golubickas

Coach: Miika Nuutinen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Correia · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,50 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.