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Champions League
Referee: Joakim Ostling
Shamrock Rovers
U T T S T
5–1
Full-time
Floriana
S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Shamrock Rovers Floriana
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,7
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
0,0
2,0
Conceded
2,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

56% Possession 44%
21 Shots 6
14 Shots on target 1
0 Blocked shots 0
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

7. Jul -26 Floriana – Shamrock Rovers 2–0

Match report

Shamrock Rovers Floriana
1–0 L. Grace ⚽
J. Byrne
7′
13′
⚽ T. Gudelj 1–1
M. Jah
2–1 D. Watts ⚽
A. Brennan
29′
Half-time 3–1
3–1 J. McGovern ⚽
D. Watts
48′
52′
🔁 K. Dervisagic
↦ R. Muric
4–1 G. Burke ⚽
J. Mulraney
61′
64′
🔁 D. Vella
↦ Chapi
T. Sobowale 🔁
↦ J. Mulraney
65′
John McGovern 🟨
68′
71′
🔁 A. C. N Dri
↦ T. Gudelj
5–1 J. Byrne ⚽
D. Watts
73′
Dylan Watts 🟨
75′
J. Afolabi 🔁
↦ G. Burke
77′
C. Malley 🔁
↦ J. O'Sullivan
77′
N. Razi 🔁
↦ D. Watts
77′
M. Noonan 🔁
↦ J. McGovern
77′
81′
🟨 Dunstan Vella
Naj Razi 🟨
82′
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Shamrock Rovers

3-5-2
1 E. McGinty G
5 L. Grace D
4 R. Lopes D
27 C. O'Sullivan D
11 J. Mulraney M
7 D. Watts M
26 J. O'Sullivan M
29 J. Byrne M
19 A. Brennan M
88 J. McGovern F
10 G. Burke F
Bench (12)
25 L. Steacy
41 A. Noonan
3 E. Stevens
15 M. Asamoah
17 L. O'Regan
18 J. Afolabi
22 T. Sobowale
23 C. Malley
28 N. Razi
31 M. Noonan
33 C. Barrett
38 M. Kovalevskis

Coach: Stephen Bradley

Floriana

4-4-2
23 G. Cioletti
21 C. Zammit Lonardelli M
17 O. Spiteri D
4 Kauan
3 M. Beerman D
11 R. Muric M
16 Chapi
14 A. Kurtalic M
10 F. Varela M
22 T. Gudelj F
19 M. Jah F
Bench (9)
80 P. Picon
5 G. Rodgers
6 A. Drina
8 Z. Scerri
9 K. Dervisagic
12 D. Vella
20 E. Piscopo
27 Z. Vella Newell
88 A. C. N Dri

Coach: Daniel Portela

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Joakim Ostling · 22 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.