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Conference League
Referee: M Radina
Shamrock Rovers
T T U T T
3–1
Full-time
Hamrun Spartans
T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Shamrock Rovers Hamrun Spartans
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
0,7
0,8
Conceded
2,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 11/7 matches
Win Ø 28%
27%
29%
Points per game
1,1
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
55%
43%
Both score Ø 37%
45%
29%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,3
0,9
Conceded
1,3
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

5,14 xG 0,76
59% Possession 41%
26 Shots 10
14 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 11
7 Corners 4
7 Offside 3
4 Free kicks against 8
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1

Match report

Shamrock Rovers Hamrun Spartans
1–0 G. Burke ⚽
14′
20′
⚽ N. Koffi 1–1
S. Thioune
26′
🟥 Joseph Mbong
45′
🟨 Mouad El Fanis
2–1 D. Grant ⚽
G. Burke
45′
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 J. Cadjenovic
↦ M. Garcia
46′
🔁 S. Meijer
↦ S. Thioune
Dan Cleary 🟨
51′
M. Kovalevskis 🔁
↦ D. Cleary
60′
61′
🔁 Ederson
↦ N. Koffi
Adam Matthews 🟨
64′
Max Kovaleskis 🟨
71′
C. Malley 🔁
↦ D. Watts
72′
J. McGovern 🔁
↦ G. Burke
72′
76′
🔁 A. Coric
↦ M. El Fanis
76′
🔁 D. Simkus
↦ N. Micallef
A. Greene 🔁
↦ R. Gaffney
78′
S. Kavanagh 🔁
↦ V. Ozhianvuna
78′
Cory O'Sullivan 🟨
85′
3–1 J. McGovern ⚽
A. Matthews
90′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Shamrock Rovers

3-5-1-1
1 E. McGinty G
6 D. Cleary D
4 R. Lopes D
27 C. O'Sullivan D
3 A. Matthews M
36 V. Ozhianvuna
17 M. Healy M
7 D. Watts M
21 D. Grant M
10 G. Burke F
20 R. Gaffney F
Bench (11)
25 L. Steacy
41 A. Noonan
9 A. Greene
11 S. Kavanagh
15 D. Nugent
18 T. Clarke
22 C. Barrett
23 C. Malley
31 M. Noonan
38 M. Kovalevskis
88 J. McGovern

Coach: Stephen Bradley

Hamrun Spartans

4-2-3-1
1 H. Bonello G
2 Rafael Compri D
13 V. Polito D
91 Emerson D
3 N. Micallef D
8 M. Garcia M
27 O. Bjelicic M
10 J. Mbong M
47 M. El Fanis M
9 S. Thioune M
19 N. Koffi F
Bench (12)
98 Celio
5 S. Xerri
7 S. Attard
14 S. Smajlagic
16 S. Camilleri
20 J. Cadjenovic
24 A. Coric
25 Ederson
33 D. Simkus
55 K. Vella
77 M. Hadzi
99 S. Meijer

Coach: Giacomo Modica

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.