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Conference League
Referee: José Luis Munuera Montero
AEK
S T S T S
1–1
Full-time
Shamrock Rovers
S S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Shamrock Rovers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 44%
50%
38%
Points per game
1,9
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 38%
50%
25%
Average goals
2,9
2,4
Scored
2,0
1,4
Conceded
0,9
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,1
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

3,20 xG 0,79
80% Possession 20%
30 Shots 1
8 Shots on target 1
8 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 7
10 Corners 0
3 Offside 4
8 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

AEK Shamrock Rovers
18′
ℹ️ John McGovern
VAR: Penalty confirmed
21′
⚽ G. Burke 0–1
24′
🟨 Graham Burke
31′
🟨 Dylan Watts
Half-time 0–1
A. Koita 🔁
↦ D. Kutesa
46′
F. Pierrot 🔁
↦ R. Marin
46′
46′
🔁 A. McEneff
↦ G. Burke
46′
🔁 D. Grant
↦ A. Matthews
46′
🔁 C. Barrett
↦ D. Watts
48′
🟨 Dan Cleary
50′
🟨 Darragh Nugent
68′
🔁 D. Mandroiu
↦ J. McGovern
72′
🔁 T. Clarke
↦ C. Malley
Lazaros Rota ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
86′
D. Vida 🔁
↦ M. Gacinovic
90′
R. Pereyra 🔁
↦ S. Pilios
90′
1–1 L. Jovic ⚽
90′
Luka Jović 🟨
98′
Domagoj Vida 🟨
98′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

AEK

4-2-3-1
1 T. Strakosha G
12 L. Rota D
2 H. Moukoudi D
44 F. Relvas D
3 S. Pilios D
13 O. Pineda M
18 R. Marin M
8 M. Gacinovic M
20 P. Mantalos M
7 D. Kutesa M
9 L. Jovic F
Bench (11)
81 A. Angelopoulos
91 A. Brignoli
4 M. Grujic
11 A. Koita
14 F. Pierrot
21 D. Vida
23 R. Ljubicic
29 J. Penrice
34 C. Kosidis
37 R. Pereyra
55 K. Chrysopoulos

Coach: Marko Nikolić

Shamrock Rovers

3-5-2
1 E. McGinty G
6 D. Cleary D
4 R. Lopes D
5 L. Grace D
3 A. Matthews M
15 D. Nugent M
23 C. Malley M
7 D. Watts M
27 C. O'Sullivan M
10 G. Burke F
88 J. McGovern F
Bench (8)
25 L. Steacy
35 T. Bazunu
8 A. McEneff
14 D. Mandroiu
17 M. Healy
18 T. Clarke
21 D. Grant
22 C. Barrett

Coach: Stephen Bradley

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

José Luis Munuera Montero · 88 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.