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Champions League
Referee: David Dickinson
Ararat-Armenia
S T T S T
2–0
Full-time
Shamrock Rovers
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ararat-Armenia Shamrock Rovers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,5
4,0
Scored
2,0
2,5
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

Ararat-Armenia Shamrock Rovers
40′
🟨 Lee Grace
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Sandro Lima ⚽
51′
M. Carlier 🔁
↦ B. Pereira
60′
Z. Banjaqui 🔁
↦ A. Tera
65′
Franca Carlos 🔁
↦ Z. Shaghoyan
65′
67′
🔁 J. Mulraney
↦ A. Brennan
67′
🔁 L. O'Regan
↦ L. Grace
67′
🔁 J. Afolabi
↦ A. Greene
Luis Felipe 🔁
↦ K. Hovhannisyan
75′
P. Ayongo 🔁
↦ A. Serobyan
76′
2–0 Z. Banjaqui ⚽
Franca Carlos
80′
81′
🟨 Matthew Healy
Junior Julio 🟨
89′
89′
🟨 Jonathan Afolabi
91′
🔁 N. Razi
↦ J. Byrne
Zidane Banjaqui 🟨
95′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Ararat-Armenia

4-3-3
98 Joao Bravim G
13 K. Hovhannisyan D
43 B. R. Wilson Valdez D
3 Junior Julio D
14 B. Pereira D
20 A. Tera M
19 K. Muradyan M
2 H. Oliveira D
77 A. Serobyan M
91 Sandro Lima F
7 Z. Shaghoyan M
Bench (10)
1 A. Nersesyan
5 Luis Felipe
6 M. Ayvazyan
9 A. Eloyan
11 Z. Banjaqui
17 M. Carlier
25 A. Ndour
47 A. Malis
90 P. Ayongo
95 Franca Carlos

Coach: Tulipa

Shamrock Rovers

3-5-2
1 E. McGinty G
5 L. Grace D
4 R. Lopes D
27 C. O'Sullivan D
22 T. Sobowale D
7 D. Watts M
8 M. Healy M
29 J. Byrne M
19 A. Brennan M
9 A. Greene F
10 G. Burke F
Bench (12)
41 A. Noonan
2 A. Matthews
3 E. Stevens
11 J. Mulraney
15 M. Asamoah
17 L. O'Regan
18 J. Afolabi
26 J. O'Sullivan
28 N. Razi
31 M. Noonan
33 C. Barrett
38 M. Kovalevskis

Coach: Stephen Bradley

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.