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Conference League
Referee: Matthew MacDermid
Sparta Praha
T T T T S
4–1
Full-time
Ararat-Armenia
S T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Praha Ararat-Armenia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,7
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
2,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,5
1,5
Scored
2,5
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

Sparta Praha Ararat-Armenia
7′
⚽ J. A. Balanta 0–1
1–1 P. Vydra ⚽
M. Rynes
25′
2–1 K. Kairinen ⚽
P. Kaderabek
33′
37′
🟨 Alexandros Malis
Half-time 2–1
J. Zeleny 🔁
↦ E. Cobbaut
46′
Matěj Ryneš 🟨
51′
3–1 J. Kuchta ⚽
M. Rynes
60′
M. Andersen 🔁
↦ P. Vydra
62′
A. Rrahmani 🔁
↦ J. Kuchta
62′
67′
🔁 J. Duarte
↦ M. Gbomadu
67′
🔁 M. Hakobyan
↦ Joao Lima
73′
🔁 A. Tera
↦ K. Muradyan
K. Milla 🔁
↦ L. Haraslin
76′
4–1 V. Birmancevic ⚽
80′
S. Eneme 🔁
↦ K. Kairinen
83′
86′
🔁 H. Oliveira
↦ K. Hovhannisyan
86′
🔁 A. Eloyan
↦ Z. Shaghoyan
88′
🟨 João Queirós
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Sparta Praha

3-4-3
1 P. Vindahl G
16 E. Uchenna D
25 A. Sorensen D
33 E. Cobbaut D
3 P. Kaderabek M
26 P. Vydra M
6 K. Kairinen M
11 M. Rynes M
14 V. Birmancevic F
10 J. Kuchta F
22 L. Haraslin F
Bench (12)
44 J. Surovcik
61 D. Kerl
2 M. Suchomel
5 S. Eneme
8 M. Andersen
9 A. Rrahmani
19 A. Sevinsky
21 D. Holly
28 K. Milla
29 E. Krasniqi
30 J. Zeleny
36 A. Karabec

Coach: Brian Priske Pedersen

Ararat-Armenia

4-3-3
24 B. Pinto G
13 K. Hovhannisyan D
4 J. Queiros D
3 Junior Julio
16 E. Grigoryan D
19 K. Muradyan M
47 A. Malis D
8 J. A. Balanta M
17 M. Gbomadu M
99 Joao Lima F
7 Z. Shaghoyan M
Bench (10)
1 A. Nersesyan
2 H. Oliveira
5 H. Hakobyan
9 A. Eloyan
10 A. Ambartsumyan
11 J. Duarte
20 A. Tera
22 M. Hakobyan
88 Welton
90 P. Ayongo

Coach: Manuel Jorge da Silva Cruz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.