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Champions League
Referee: Halil Umut Meler
PSV Eindhoven
U S S S S
1–1
Full-time
Shakhtar Donetsk
T S U T T
⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Shakhtar Donetsk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 92%
100%
83%
Average goals
5,0
3,5
Scored
3,8
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+2,7
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

54% Possession 46%
10 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

27. Nov -24 PSV Eindhoven – Shakhtar Donetsk 3–2

Match report

PSV Eindhoven Shakhtar Donetsk
35′
🟨 Vinícius Tobias
Half-time 0–1
46′
⚽ Gleiker Mendoza 0–1
Isaque
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

PSV Eindhoven

4-3-3
32 M. Kovář G
8 S. Dest D
2 L. Geertruida D
4 A. Obispo D
18 F. Kostić D
20 G. Til M
24 K. Sano M
10 P. Wanner M
5 I. Perišić F
9 R. Pepi F
7 R. van Bommel F
Bench (11)
19 E. Bajraktarevic
37 A. Bouhamdi
31 N. Fernandez
6 R. Flamingo
3 Yarek Gasiorowski
27 D. Man
38 F. Merién
21 S. Mijnans
1 N. Olij
35 A. Santos
51 T. Smolenaars

Coach: P. Bosz

Shakhtar Donetsk

4-1-4-1
31 D. Riznyk G
17 Vinícius Tobias D
5 V. Bondar D
22 M. Matvienko D
13 Pedrinho D
27 O. Ocheretko M
30 Alisson Santana M
6 Marlon Gomes M
14 Isaque M
77 G. Mendoza M
9 Kauã Elias F
Bench (12)
23 K. Fesyun
25 Gabriel Carvalho
18 A. Ghram
20 O. Karavaev
8 D. Kryskiv
49 Luca Meirelles
37 Lucas Ferreira
29 E. Nazaryna
11 Newertton
2 L. Traoré
16 I. Azarovi
24 V. Tsukanov

Coach: A. Turan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,51
🔒
U ✓
4,81
🔒
B
5,95
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,10
🔒
U1,5
5,50
🔒
O2,5
1,43
🔒
U2,5 ✓
2,64
🔒
O3,5
2,13
🔒
U3,5 ✓
1,73
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
1,53
🔒
BLS nei
2,36
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Halil Umut Meler · 39 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.