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Europa League
Referee: G Kabakov
Maribor
U S U T
0–2
Full-time
HJK Helsinki
S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Maribor HJK Helsinki
Last 6 — all competitions · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 25%
25%
25%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
0%
75%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
0,8
3,0
Scored
0,5
0,8
Conceded
0,3
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

6 Corners 2
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Maribor HJK Helsinki
37′
🟨 David Browne
38′
🟨 Santeri Väänänen
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 B. Radulović
↦ A. Olusanya
46′
🔁 A. Tanaka
↦ S. Väänänen
47′
⚽ D. Browne 0–1
S. Hostikka
Nemanja Mitrović 🟨
53′
53′
🔁 P. Soiri
↦ D. Browne
60′
🟨 Malik Abubakari
64′
⚽ B. Radulović 0–2
Murilo
R. Kronaveter 🔁
↦ Z. Vipotnik
65′
M. Božić 🔁
↦ I. Brnić
65′
73′
🔁 J. Yli-Kokko
↦ L. Lingman
Jan Repas 🟨
76′
M. Laušić 🔁
↦ A. Žinič
76′
S. Karič 🔁
↦ V. Vidaković
76′
L. Bozickovic 🔁
↦ A. Antolin
87′
87′
🔁 F. Serrarens
↦ M. Abubakari
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Maribor

4-2-3-1
81 M. Bergsen G
29 A. Žinič D
32 N. Mitrovič D
20 M. Watson D
12 G. Sikošek D
15 J. Repas M
14 V. Vidaković M
77 Z. Vipotnik F
16 A. Antolin M
17 I. Brnić F
18 R. Baturina F
Bench (11)
7 R. Kronaveter
8 M. Božić
30 M. Laušić
25 S. Karič
21 L. Bozickovic
42 V. Koderman
52 M. Zalokar
11 D. Šturm
24 R. Maher
59 S. Pridgar
40 I. Guerrico

Coach: R. Karanović

HJK Helsinki

3-5-2
1 C. Hazard G
14 M. Peltola M
15 M. Tenho D
22 J. Raitala D
24 D. Browne F
20 Murilo
21 S. Väänänen M
8 L. Lingman M
7 S. Hostikka
77 M. Abubakari F
29 A. Olusanya F
Bench (8)
18 B. Radulović
37 A. Tanaka
23 P. Soiri
58 J. Yli-Kokko
44 F. Serrarens
3 J. Saksela
12 J. Tånnander
19 C. Terho

Coach: T. Koskela

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Kabakov · 28 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.