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Conference League
Referee: M Fabbri
Lugano
S T T T S
0–2
Full-time
Hapoel Beer Sheva
S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano Hapoel Beer Sheva
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/2 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,2
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,8
2,0
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
1,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

57% Possession 43%
13 Shots 7
1 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 2
3 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Lugano Hapoel Beer Sheva
Mattia Bottani 🟨
7′
Allan Arigoni 🟨
35′
36′
🟨 Tomer Yosefi
39′
⚽ T. Yosefi 0–1
Half-time 0–1
H. Mahmoud 🔁
↦ M. Haile-Selassie
56′
63′
🔁 D. Micha
↦ André Martins
63′
🔁 S. Elias
↦ T. Yosefi
M. Amoura 🔁
↦ Ž. Celar
67′
73′
🔁 R. Hatuel
↦ T. Hemed
75′
🟨 Dor Micha
B. Babic 🔁
↦ H. Mahou
82′
83′
🔁 A. Selmani
↦ E. Ansah
83′
🔁 D. Keltjens
↦ E. Tibi
85′
⚽ A. Selmani 0–2
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Lugano

4-2-3-1
1 A. Saipi G
34 A. Arigoni D
30 F. Daprelà D
3 R. Ziegler M
17 M. Valenzuela D
20 O. Doumbia M
14 J. Sabbatini D
11 M. Haile-Selassie M
10 M. Bottani M
18 H. Mahou M
9 Ž. Celar F
Bench (10)
29 H. Mahmoud
47 M. Amoura
27 B. Babic
5 A. Hajdari
33 A. Casciato
58 S. Osigwe
8 A. Durrer
16 A. Maccoppi
12 A. Morosoli
15 L. Mai

Coach: M. Croci-Torti

Hapoel Beer Sheva

4-3-3
55 O. Glazer G
30 O. Dadya D
18 E. Tibi M
4 Miguel Vítor D
22 Hélder Lopes D
35 M. Bareiro M
28 André Martins M
44 H. Elhamed D
15 T. Yosefi M
17 T. Hemed F
13 E. Ansah F
Bench (12)
10 D. Micha
19 S. Elias
77 R. Hatuel
21 A. Selmani
3 D. Keltjens
5 E. Abu Abaid
27 Y. Stoyanov
9 I. Shechter
11 S. Yehezkel
1 A. Harush
7 R. Safouri
14 I. Madmon

Coach: E. Barda

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Fabbri · 116 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.