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Conference League
Referee: J Xhaja
Vikingur Reykjavik
S T U S U
1–0
Full-time
Lech Poznan
T T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vikingur Reykjavik Lech Poznan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,3
Scored
2,3
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,3
This season — Conference League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,0
3,5
Scored
1,0
3,0
Conceded
0,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+2,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

8 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 4
18 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Vikingur Reykjavik Lech Poznan
Julius Magnusson 🟨
42′
1–0 A. Sigurpálsson ⚽
45′
Half-time 1–0
D. Djuric 🔁
↦ B. Ingason
46′
V. Andrason 🔁
↦ A. Sigurpálsson
53′
61′
🔁 N. Kvekveskiri
↦ J. Karlström
61′
🔁 G. Tsitaishvili
↦ K. Velde
71′
🟨 Radosław Murawski
74′
🔁 F. Szymczak
↦ João Amaral
82′
🟨 Joel Pereira
D. Atlason 🔁
↦ H. Guðjónsson
86′
88′
🟨 Pedro Rebocho
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Vikingur Reykjavik

4-3-3
1 I. Jónsson G
22 K. Gunnarsson F
4 O. Ekroth D
5 K. McLagan D
3 L. Tómasson M
20 Júlíus Magnússon M
10 P. Punyed M
18 B. Ingason F
17 A. Sigurpálsson F
7 E. Agnarsson M
9 H. Guðjónsson F
Bench (9)
19 D. Djuric
8 V. Andrason
24 D. Atlason
14 J. Geirdal
16 Þ. Ingason
15 A. Guðjohnsen
30 T. Þórisson
99 U. Auðunsson
11 G. Þórðarson

Coach: A. Gunnlaugsson

Lech Poznan

4-4-1-1
35 F. Bednarek G
2 Joel Pereira D
3 B. Douglas D
25 F. Dagerstål D
5 Pedro Rebocho D
21 M. Skóraś M
22 R. Murawski M
6 J. Karlström M
23 K. Velde M
24 João Amaral M
9 M. Ishak F
Bench (10)
30 N. Kvekveskiri
14 G. Tsitaishvili
17 F. Szymczak
33 K. Drażdżewski
20 M. Pingot
44 A. Czerwiński
43 A. Kozubal
7 Afonso Sousa
31 K. Bąkowski
11 F. Marchwiński

Coach: J. van den Brom

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Xhaja · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.