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Referee: Vitor Ferreira
Dundee United
S T U S U
1–0
Full-time
AZ Alkmaar
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dundee United AZ Alkmaar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,7
Scored
1,2
2,7
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

42% Possession 58%
6 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 4
0 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 14
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Dundee United AZ Alkmaar
24′
🟨 Pantelis Hatzidiakos
Steven Fletcher 🟨
32′
Half-time 0–0
Craig Sibbald 🟨
50′
59′
🟨 Sam Beukema
J. McGrath 🔁
↦ C. Sibbald
59′
1–0 G. Middleton ⚽
61′
71′
🔁 M. van Brederode
↦ M. Lahdo
Glenn Middleton 🟨
76′
I. Niskanen 🔁
↦ G. Middleton
79′
N. Clark 🔁
↦ S. Fletcher
91′
Ryan Edwards 🟨
92′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Dundee United

4-3-3
1 M. Birighitti G
2 L. Smith D
12 R. Edwards D
4 C. Mulgrew M
22 K. Freeman D
19 D. Levitt M
14 C. Sibbald D
23 I. Harkes M
32 T. Watt M
9 S. Fletcher F
15 G. Middleton M
Bench (10)
18 J. McGrath
7 I. Niskanen
10 N. Clark
25 K. Fotheringham
11 L. Chalmers
44 R. MacLeod
13 C. Eriksson
28 M. Anim Cudjoe
17 A. Meekison
6 R. Graham

Coach: J. Ross

AZ Alkmaar

4-3-3
12 H. Verhulst G
3 P. Hatzidiakos D
31 S. Beukema D
4 B. Martins Indi M
5 M. Kerkez D
8 J. Clasie M
10 D. de Wit M
6 T. Reijnders D
18 H. Evjen F
9 Vangelis Pavlidis F
23 M. Lahdo F
Bench (10)
33 M. van Brederode
28 Z. Buurmeester
22 M. Dekker
13 S. Westerveld
32 F. de Jong
43 L. Schouten
34 M. de Wit
1 P. Vindahl
15 A. Witry
17 Y. Barası

Coach: P. Jansen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Vitor Ferreira · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
30,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,31 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.