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Conference League
Referee: D Bel
Neftchi Baku
T S
2–1
Full-time
SK Rapid
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Neftchi Baku SK Rapid
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,5
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
2,5
1,7
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,0
This season — Conference League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
2,5
1,5
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%
13 Shots 16
6 Shots on target 8
2 Blocked shots 4
7 Goalkeeper saves 4
1 Corners 7
3 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Neftchi Baku SK Rapid
35′
🟨 Marco Grüll
35′
🟨 Aleksa Pejić
Ataa Jaber 🟨
43′
1–0 A. Jaber ⚽
44′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 T. Schick
↦ J. Auer
59′
🔁 P. Greil
↦ M. Oswald
59′
🔁 N. Kühn
↦ A. Bajić
2–0 K. Saief ⚽
60′
73′
🔁 D. Savić
↦ M. Grüll
73′
🔁 R. Kriwak
↦ B. Zimmermann
R. Hacıyev 🔁
↦ Y. Lawal
77′
A. Aliev 🔁
↦ K. Saief
77′
F. Yusifli 🔁
↦ E. İsrafilov
83′
Guilherme Pato 🔁
↦ E. Mahmudov
83′
88′
🟨 Thorsten Schick
Ö. Buludov 🔁
↦ M. Mbodj
94′
95′
⚽ G. Burgstaller 2–1
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Neftchi Baku

4-3-3
1 I. Brkić G
3 M. Mbodj D
4 S. Kvirkvelia D
6 V. Stanković D
19 A. Salahlı D
14 E. İsrafilov M
8 E. Mahmudov M
23 A. Jaber M
5 K. Saief F
11 G. Donyoh F
24 Y. Lawal F
Bench (11)
17 R. Hacıyev
7 A. Aliev
27 F. Yusifli
16 Guilherme Pato
26 Ö. Buludov
77 E. Bogomolskiy
2 M. Çelik
21 İ. Zülfüqarlı
30 A. Məmmədov
82 R. Abbasov
20 V. Əsgərov

Coach: L. Reghecampf

SK Rapid

4-4-2
45 N. Hedl G
22 M. Koscelník D
19 M. Sollbauer D
6 K. Wimmer D
23 J. Auer D
29 A. Bajić M
14 A. Pejić M
28 M. Oswald M
27 M. Grüll M
9 G. Burgstaller F
41 B. Zimmermann F
Bench (12)
13 T. Schick
24 P. Greil
7 N. Kühn
77 D. Savić
39 R. Kriwak
25 P. Gartler
8 C. Knasmüllner
21 B. Unger
20 M. Hofmann
43 L. Querfeld
37 P. Fallmann
34 N. Sattlberger

Coach: F. Feldhofer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Bel · 12 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.