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Europa League
Referee: João Pedro Pinheiro
2–3
Full-time
Man United
S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Omonia Nicosia Man United
Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 29%
25%
33%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
This season — Europa League · 4/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 13%
25%
0%
Average goals
2,5
1,5
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

27% Possession 73%
8 Shots 28
4 Shots on target 8
1 Blocked shots 7
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Omonia Nicosia Man United
1–0 K. Ansarifard
Bruno Souza
34′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 L. Shaw
↦ T. Malacia
46′
🔁 M. Rashford
↦ J. Sancho
53′
M. Rashford 1–1
A. Kakoullis 🔁
↦ K. Ansarifard
61′
F. Papoulis 🔁
↦ B. Barker
61′
61′
🔁 A. Martial
↦ Bruno Fernandes
Charalampos Charalampous 🟨
62′
63′
A. Martial 1–2
M. Rashford
L. Loizou 🔁
↦ Bruno Souza
71′
N. Panagiotou 🔁
↦ M. Diskerud
72′
74′
🔁 Fred
↦ Antony
R. Bezus 🔁
↦ N. Miletić
82′
82′
🔁 S. McTominay
↦ Casemiro
84′
M. Rashford 1–3
Cristiano Ronaldo
2–3 N. Panagiotou
A. Kakoullis
85′
Andronikos Kakoullis 🟨
87′
87′
🟨 Lisandro Martínez
95′
🟨 Luke Shaw
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Omonia Nicosia

5-3-2
40 Fabiano G
3 A. Matthews D
73 N. Miletić D
6 Héctor Yuste D
22 Á. Lang D
17 J. Lecjaks D
42 M. Diskerud M
76 C. Charalampous M
11 B. Barker M
7 Bruno Souza F
18 K. Ansarifard F
Bench (9)
80 A. Kakoullis
13 F. Papoulis
10 L. Loizou
30 N. Panagiotou
90 R. Bezus
23 F. Uzoho
1 C. Panayi
14 F. Kitsos
20 P. Zachariou

Coach: N. Lennon

Man United

4-2-3-1
1 David de Gea G
20 Diogo Dalot D
2 V. Lindelöf D
6 Lisandro Martínez D
12 T. Malacia D
18 Casemiro M
14 C. Eriksen M
21 Antony M
8 Bruno Fernandes M
25 J. Sancho M
7 Cristiano Ronaldo F
Bench (11)
23 L. Shaw
10 M. Rashford
9 A. Martial
17 Fred
39 S. McTominay
55 Zidane Iqbal
49 Alejandro Garnacho
22 T. Heaton
31 M. Dúbravka
36 A. Elanga
28 F. Pellistri

Coach: E. ten Hag

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

João Pedro Pinheiro · 221 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.