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Europa League
Referee: K Tohver
Sociedad
T S U S T
2–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sociedad Omonia Nicosia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/3 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
This season — Europa League · 1/3 matches
Win Ø 84%
100%
67%
Points per game
3,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
0%
33%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
0,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

71% Possession 29%
11 Shots 2
4 Shots on target 1
0 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 1
0 Offside 3
18 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Sociedad Omonia Nicosia
2′
🟨 Mix Diskerud
13′
🔁 C. Charalampous
↦ Moreto Cassamá
1–0 Guevara
30′
Half-time 1–0
51′
🔁 Á. Lang
↦ Héctor Yuste
A. Sørloth 🔁
↦ Jon Karrikaburu
61′
Robert Navarro 🔁
↦ Mikel Merino
61′
T. Kubo 🔁
↦ M. Cho
61′
65′
🔁 Bruno Souza
↦ K. Ansarifard
65′
🔁 A. Matthews
↦ P. Psaltis
65′
🔁 F. Papoulis
↦ M. Diskerud
72′
Bruno Souza 1–1
Beñat Turrientes 🔁
↦ Illarramendi
75′
Gorosabel 🔁
↦ Álex Sola
75′
2–1 A. Sørloth
T. Kubo
80′
83′
🟨 Fouad Bachirou
Igor Zubeldia 🟨
86′
92′
🟨 Ádám Lang
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Sociedad

4-3-3
1 Álex Remiro G
2 Álex Sola D
6 Elustondo D
5 Zubeldia D
15 Diego Rico D
8 Mikel Merino M
16 Guevara M
4 Illarramendi M
23 Brais Méndez F
33 Jon Karrikaburu F
11 M. Cho F
Bench (12)
19 A. Sørloth
17 Robert Navarro
14 T. Kubo
22 Beñat Turrientes
18 Gorosabel
20 Jon Pacheco
12 Aihen Muñoz
3 Martín Zubimendi
30 Urko González
21 David Silva
32 Unai Marrero
13 Andoni Zubiaurre

Coach: Imanol Alguacil

Omonia Nicosia

3-5-2
40 Fabiano G
73 N. Miletić D
6 Héctor Yuste D
30 N. Panagiotou D
2 P. Psaltis M
8 Moreto Cassamá M
19 F. Bachirou M
42 M. Diskerud M
14 F. Kitsos M
10 L. Loizou F
18 K. Ansarifard F
Bench (11)
76 C. Charalampous
22 Á. Lang
7 Bruno Souza
3 A. Matthews
13 F. Papoulis
80 A. Kakoullis
20 P. Zachariou
17 J. Lecjaks
11 B. Barker
1 C. Panayi
23 F. Uzoho

Coach: N. Lennon

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Tohver · 17 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.