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Europa League
Referee: M Guida
Dinamo Zagreb
T S S T U
3–1
Full-time
Sparta Praha
U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dinamo Zagreb Sparta Praha
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/4 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,3
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

16 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Dinamo Zagreb Sparta Praha
Martin Baturina 🟨
22′
39′
⚽ L. Krejčí 0–1
1–1 D. Špikić ⚽
B. Petković
44′
Half-time 2–1
2–1 D. Perić ⚽
58′
3–1 L. Ivanušec ⚽
R. Ljubičić
61′
62′
🔁 M. Minchev
↦ L. Haraslín
62′
🔁 J. Kuchta
↦ V. Olatunji
M. Emreli 🔁
↦ D. Špikić
65′
L. Stojković 🔁
↦ M. Baturina
65′
68′
🔁 J. Pešek
↦ V. Birmančević
68′
🔁 Q. Laçi
↦ L. Sadílek
69′
🟨 Qazim Laci
P. Sučić 🔁
↦ M. Bulat
76′
82′
🔁 M. Ryneš
↦ J. Zelený
B. Šutalo 🔁
↦ D. Perić
86′
B. Mykhailichenko 🔁
↦ L. Ivanušec
87′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Dinamo Zagreb

4-2-3-1
33 I. Nevistić G
2 S. Moharrami D
13 S. Ristovski D
55 D. Perić D
14 R. Ljubičić M
27 J. Mišić M
31 M. Bulat M
77 D. Špikić M
10 M. Baturina M
7 L. Ivanušec M
9 B. Petković F
Bench (12)
11 M. Emreli
86 L. Stojković
25 P. Sučić
4 B. Šutalo
15 B. Mykhailichenko
41 G. Rukavina
1 D. Zagorac
20 A. Marin
30 T. Kaneko
18 J. Drmić
6 M. Bernauer
70 L. Menalo

Coach: S. Jakirović

Sparta Praha

3-4-3
1 P. Vindahl G
25 A. Sørensen D
27 F. Panák D
37 L. Krejčí D
28 T. Wiesner D
18 L. Sadílek M
6 K. Kairinen M
30 J. Zelený M
14 V. Birmančević M
7 V. Olatunji F
22 L. Haraslín F
Bench (12)
11 M. Minchev
9 J. Kuchta
21 J. Pešek
20 Q. Laçi
32 M. Ryneš
24 V. Vorel
10 A. Karabec
5 J. Gomez
8 D. Pavelka
39 V. Sejk
41 M. Vitík
26 P. Vydra

Coach: B. Priske

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Guida · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.