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Europa League
Referee: E Jorgji
St. Gilloise
U T S S T
2–0
Full-time
Lugano
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gilloise Lugano
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,3
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,2
3,5
Scored
1,5
2,5
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

15 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 1
6 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

St. Gilloise Lugano
1–0 D. Eckert Ayensa ⚽
M. Rasmussen
8′
Dennis Eckert Ayensa 🟨
42′
Half-time 1–0
65′
🔁 J. Espinoza
↦ A. Arigoni
G. Nilsson 🔁
↦ D. Eckert Ayensa
66′
N. Sadiki 🔁
↦ M. Rasmussen
66′
Kevin Mac Allister 🟨
67′
2–0 C. Terho ⚽
L. Amani
71′
76′
🟨 Jonathan Sabbatini
76′
🔁 Y. Cimignani
↦ M. Bottani
76′
🔁 H. Mahmoud
↦ J. Sabbatini
77′
🔁 R. Macek
↦ U. Bislimi
84′
🔁 S. Vladi
↦ Ž. Celar
F. Leysen 🔁
↦ L. Lapoussin
91′
Gustaf Nilsson 🟨
96′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

St. Gilloise

3-5-2
49 A. Moris G
5 K. Mac Allister D
16 C. Burgess D
28 K. Machida D
17 C. Terho F
4 M. Rasmussen M
24 C. Vanhoutte M
23 Cameron Puertas M
10 L. Lapoussin M
8 L. Amani M
9 D. Eckert Ayensa F
Bench (11)
29 G. Nilsson
27 N. Sadiki
48 F. Leysen
21 L. Pirard
14 J. Imbrechts
11 H. Teklab
19 G. François
35 N. Huygevelde
3 V. Boone
7 E. Kabangu
85 A. Dony

Coach: A. Blessin

Lugano

4-2-3-1
1 A. Saipi G
34 A. Arigoni D
4 K. Hajrizi D
5 A. Hajdari D
23 M. Valenzuela D
14 J. Sabbatini M
16 A. Grgić M
11 R. Steffen M
25 U. Bislimi M
10 M. Bottani F
9 Ž. Celar F
Bench (11)
6 J. Espinoza
21 Y. Cimignani
29 H. Mahmoud
7 R. Macek
19 S. Vladi
17 L. Mai
22 A. El Wafi
26 Martim Marques
27 B. Babic
90 S. Deana
99 D. Mina

Coach: M. Croci-Torti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

E Jorgji · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.