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Conference League
Referee: A Karaoğlan
Lille
S S U U S
2–1
Full-time
HNK Rijeka
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lille HNK Rijeka
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,0
3,2
Scored
1,3
2,2
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

79% Possession 21%
19 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
9 Corners 2
3 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Lille HNK Rijeka
L. Yoro 🔁
↦ B. Diakité
7′
Benjamin André 🟨
15′
24′
⚽ M. Pašalić 0–1
32′
🔁 M. Mitrović
↦ S. Radeljić
1–1 E. Zhegrova ⚽
43′
Half-time 1–1
Edon Zhegrova 🟨
52′
52′
🟨 Matej Mitrović
57′
🔁 A. Grgić
↦ M. Pašalić
57′
🔁 T. Fruk
↦ A. Vukčević
A. Zedadka 🔁
↦ Tiago Santos
66′
A. Ounas 🔁
↦ H. Haraldsson
66′
Ivan Cavaleiro 🔁
↦ E. Zhegrova
66′
78′
🔁 S. Ilinković
↦ F. Ivanović
78′
🔁 I. Lepinjica
↦ L. Selahi
Y. Yazıcı 🔁
↦ A. Ounas
80′
81′
🟨 Nediljko Labrović
2–1 L. Yoro ⚽
89′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Lille

4-2-3-1
30 L. Chevalier G
22 Tiago Santos D
18 B. Diakité D
4 Alexsandro Ribeiro D
5 G. Gudmundsson D
21 B. André M
8 A. Gomes M
23 E. Zhegrova M
10 R. Cabella M
7 H. Haraldsson M
9 J. David F
Bench (12)
15 L. Yoro
13 A. Zedadka
11 A. Ounas
17 Ivan Cavaleiro
12 Y. Yazıcı
35 C. Baleba
40 T. Negrel
20 I. Miramón
36 O. Touré
31 Ismaily
26 A. Virginius
16 A. Jakubech

Coach: Paulo Fonseca

HNK Rijeka

4-4-1-1
1 N. Labrović G
28 I. Smolčić D
5 N. Galešić D
26 S. Radeljić D
3 B. Goda D
87 M. Pašalić M
18 L. Selahi M
25 V. Hodža M
12 A. Vukčević M
4 N. Janković F
89 F. Ivanović F
Bench (12)
6 M. Mitrović
23 A. Grgić
21 T. Fruk
27 S. Ilinković
20 I. Lepinjica
9 J. Obregón
45 A. Todorović
13 M. Zlomislić
8 A. Liber
30 B. Bogojević
77 Danilo Veiga
99 N. Djouahra

Coach: D. Raić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Karaoğlan · 112 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.