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Champions League
Referee: E Eskås
AEK
U S S S S
2–2
Full-time
Dinamo Zagreb
T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Dinamo Zagreb
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
0,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,0
This season — Champions League · 1/3 matches
Win Ø 84%
100%
67%
Points per game
3,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
2,0
2,3
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

54% Possession 46%
15 Shots 9
8 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Corners 0
8 Offside 4
14 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

15. Aug -23 Dinamo Zagreb – AEK 1–2

Match report

AEK Dinamo Zagreb
33′
🟨 Luka Ivanušec
Half-time 0–1
46′
⚽ J. Šutalo 0–1
65′
⚽ R. Ljubičić 0–2
B. Petković
M. Gaćinović 🔁
↦ D. Szymański
67′
N. Eliasson 🔁
↦ N. Amrabat
67′
S. Araújo 🔁
↦ S. Zuber
67′
70′
🟨 Josip Mišić
K. Galanopoulos 🔁
↦ O. Pineda
76′
P. Mantalos 🔁
↦ J. Jønsson
76′
78′
🟨 Bogdan Mykhaylichenko
82′
🟨 Josip Šutalo
86′
🔁 A. Marin
↦ D. Špikić
91′
🟨 Antonio Marin
1–2 S. Araújo ⚽
92′
Harold Moukoudi 🟨
96′
2–2 D. Vida 1 ⚽
101′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

AEK

4-2-3-1
1 C. Stanković G
12 L. Rota D
21 D. Vida D
2 H. Moukoudi D
28 E. Hajisafi D
6 J. Jønsson M
4 D. Szymański M
5 N. Amrabat M
13 O. Pineda M
10 S. Zuber M
7 L. García F
Bench (12)
8 M. Gaćinović
19 N. Eliasson
11 S. Araújo
25 K. Galanopoulos
20 P. Mantalos
24 G. Mitoglou
29 D. Sidibé
53 T. Macheras
9 T. van Weert
30 G. Athanasiadis
3 M. Mohammadi
70 R. Pizarro

Coach: M. Almeyda

Dinamo Zagreb

4-2-3-1
40 D. Livaković G
2 S. Moharrami D
13 S. Ristovski D
37 J. Šutalo D
15 B. Mykhailichenko D
27 J. Mišić M
14 R. Ljubičić M
77 D. Špikić M
31 M. Bulat M
7 L. Ivanušec M
9 B. Petković F
Bench (12)
20 A. Marin
41 G. Rukavina
6 M. Bernauer
11 M. Emreli
30 T. Kaneko
42 L. Lukanić
33 I. Nevistić
10 M. Baturina
25 P. Sučić
4 B. Šutalo
55 D. Perić
18 J. Drmić

Coach: I. Bišćan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

E Eskås · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.