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Conference League
Referee: M Barbu
FK Tobol Kostanay
U S T S T
1–2
Full-time
Plzen
T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FK Tobol Kostanay Plzen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,0
3,2
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,2
This season — Conference League · 6/4 matches
Win Ø 63%
50%
75%
Points per game
1,7
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 38%
50%
25%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
1,2
2,0
Conceded
0,8
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%
12 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 8
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

FK Tobol Kostanay Plzen
Half-time 0–0
56′
🔁 T. Chorý
↦ R. Durosinmi
56′
🔁 A. Vlkanova
↦ P. Šulc
Jovan Ilić 🟨
59′
Roman Asrankulov 🟨
61′
R. Orazov 🔁
↦ Y. Shakhov
69′
I. Ivanović 🔁
↦ S. Zharynbetov
69′
72′
⚽ Cadu 0–1
85′
🟨 Lukáš Kalvach
89′
⚽ L. Kalvach 0–2
P. Zabelin 🔁
↦ S. Muzhikov
90′
P. Kireenko 🔁
↦ B. Kairov
90′
93′
🔁 L. Holík
↦ J. Kopic
97′
🟨 Tomáš Chorý
1–2 S. Deblé ⚽
98′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

FK Tobol Kostanay

4-2-3-1
23 I. Konovalov G
24 B. Kairov D
4 I. Rogač M
30 B. Mlađović D
3 R. Asrankulov D
90 Y. Shakhov M
6 J. Ilić D
14 S. Zharynbetov M
10 S. Muzhikov M
21 M. Vukadinović F
8 S. Deblé F
Bench (9)
20 R. Orazov
70 I. Ivanović
13 P. Zabelin
18 P. Kireenko
12 S. Busurmanov
51 B. Galym
5 D. Semchenkov
17 T. Zhakupov
15 A. Gabaraev

Coach: M. Ćurčić

Plzen

3-5-2
36 J. Staněk G
2 L. Hejda M
3 R. Hranáč M
40 S. Dweh D
10 J. Kopic D
23 L. Kalvach D
12 I. Traoré M
20 P. Bucha M
22 Cadu F
17 R. Durosinmi F
31 P. Šulc M
Bench (12)
15 T. Chorý
88 A. Vlkanova
44 L. Holík
21 V. Jemelka
9 J. Kliment
14 R. Řezník
11 M. Vydra
33 E. Jirka
13 M. Tvrdoň
5 J. Paluska
16 M. Jedlička
18 J. Mosquera

Coach: M. Koubek

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Barbu · 17 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.