← Match Finder
Europa League
Referee: S Schärer
Atalanta
U T T U U
2–1
Full-time
Sp Lisbon
U S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Atalanta Sp Lisbon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
1,3
2,2
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 7/9 matches
Win Ø 51%
57%
44%
Points per game
2,1
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
43%
56%
Both score Ø 73%
57%
89%
Average goals
2,6
2,7
Scored
1,9
1,7
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,1
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,59 xG 1,19
41% Possession 59%
10 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 3
4 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Mar -24 Sp Lisbon – Atalanta 1–1 30. Nov -23 Atalanta – Sp Lisbon 1–1 5. Oct -23 Sp Lisbon – Atalanta 1–2

Match report

Atalanta Sp Lisbon
33′
⚽ Pote 0–1
V. Gyökeres
36′
🔁 Daniel Bragança
↦ Pote
Half-time 0–1
D. Zappacosta 🔁
↦ M. Bakker
46′
1–1 A. Lookman ⚽
Aleksey Miranchuk
46′
2–1 G. Scamacca ⚽
Aleksey Miranchuk
59′
61′
🔁 Geny Catamo
↦ Ricardo Esgaio
62′
🔁 Nuno Santos
↦ Matheus Reis
T. Koopmeiners 🔁
↦ Éderson
64′
C. De Ketelaere 🔁
↦ G. Scamacca
64′
75′
🔁 Paulinho
↦ Trincão
75′
🔁 Eduardo Quaresma
↦ J. St. Juste
M. Pašalić 🔁
↦ Aleksey Miranchuk
76′
Emil Holm 🟨
78′
E. Touré 🔁
↦ A. Lookman
85′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Atalanta

3-4-2-1
1 J. Musso G
19 B. Djimsiti D
4 I. Hien D
23 S. Kolašinac D
3 E. Holm M
13 Éderson M
15 M. de Roon M
20 M. Bakker M
59 Aleksey Miranchuk F
11 A. Lookman F
90 G. Scamacca F
Bench (12)
77 D. Zappacosta
7 T. Koopmeiners
17 C. De Ketelaere
8 M. Pašalić
10 E. Touré
2 R. Tolói
31 F. Rossi
33 H. Hateboer
29 M. Carnesecchi
42 G. Scalvini
22 M. Ruggeri
25 M. Adopo

Coach: G. Gasperini

Sp Lisbon

3-4-2-1
12 F. Israel G
3 J. St. Juste D
26 O. Diomande D
25 Gonçalo Inácio D
47 Ricardo Esgaio M
42 M. Hjulmand M
8 Pote M
2 Matheus Reis M
10 M. Edwards F
17 Trincão F
9 V. Gyökeres F
Bench (12)
23 Daniel Bragança
21 Geny Catamo
11 Nuno Santos
20 Paulinho
72 Eduardo Quaresma
4 S. Coates
22 Iván Fresneda
51 Diogo Pinto
45 Rafael Pontelo
80 K. Koindredi
99 Francisco Silva
13 Luís Neto

Coach: Rúben Amorim

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Schärer · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.