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DBU Pokalen
Referee: M Kristoffersen
Fredericia
S S S S T
2–0
Full-time
Silkeborg
T T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fredericia Silkeborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
5,2
3,8
Scored
3,2
1,8
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — DBU Pokalen · 7/6 matches
Win Ø 85%
86%
83%
Points per game
2,6
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 77%
86%
67%
Both score Ø 69%
71%
67%
Average goals
5,6
3,8
Scored
3,9
3,0
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+2,1
+2,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Fredericia 1. · Silkeborg 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fredericia 7 6 0 1 +15 18
2 Silkeborg 6 5 0 1 +13 15
3 Aarhus 5 4 0 1 +7 12
4 FC Helsingor 4 3 1 0 +8 10
5 Nordsjaelland 5 3 1 1 +4 10
6 AB Copenhagen 6 3 1 2 -1 10
7 FC Copenhagen 4 3 0 1 +9 9
8 Ishøj 4 3 0 1 +5 9
9 Brondby 4 3 0 1 +3 9
10 Kolding IF 3 2 1 0 +22 7
11 B 93 3 2 1 0 +21 7
12 Vejle 3 2 1 0 +8 7
13 Lyngby 5 2 1 2 +2 7
14 Midtjylland 3 2 0 1 +14 6
15 Aalborg 3 2 0 1 +13 6
16 FA 2000 3 2 0 1 +11 6
17 Aarhus Fremad 3 2 0 1 +11 6
18 Esbjerg 3 2 0 1 +7 6
19 Hvidovre IF 3 2 0 1 +6 6
20 Naestved 3 2 0 1 +6 6
21 Odense 3 2 0 1 +4 6
22 Hobro 3 2 0 1 +4 6
23 Viby 3 2 0 1 +3 6
24 HB Koge 3 2 0 1 +2 6
25 Vanløse 3 2 0 1 +2 6
26 Nykobing FC 3 2 0 1 +2 6
27 Thisted FC 3 2 0 1 +1 6
28 HIK 3 2 0 1 -1 6
29 Lyseng 3 2 0 1 -5 6
30 tst Fodbold 3 1 1 1 -6 4
31 Hillerød 2 1 0 1 +5 3
32 Middelfart 2 1 0 1 +4 3
33 Næsby 2 1 0 1 +3 3
34 Kolding B 2 1 0 1 +2 3
35 SfB-Oure 2 1 0 1 +1 3
36 Skjold Sæby 2 1 0 1 +1 3
37 Ringsted 2 1 0 1 +1 3
38 Gørslev 2 1 0 1 +1 3
39 Viborg 2 1 0 1 +0 3
40 VSK Århus 2 1 0 1 +0 3
41 Sonderjyske 2 1 0 1 +0 3
42 Silkeborg KFUM 2 1 0 1 +0 3
43 B 1908 2 1 0 1 +0 3
44 AB Tårnby 2 1 0 1 +0 3
45 VRI 2 1 0 1 -1 3
46 Tune 2 1 0 1 -1 3
47 Skjold Birkerød 2 1 0 1 -1 3
48 Skive 2 1 0 1 -1 3
49 Brønshøj 2 1 0 1 -2 3
50 Ringkøbing 2 1 0 1 -3 3
51 Taastrup 2 1 0 1 -4 3
52 Dalum 2 1 0 1 -5 3
53 Bagsværd 2 1 0 1 -5 3
54 Søften 2 1 0 1 -6 3
55 Aabenraa 2 1 0 1 -12 3
56 B 1909 1 0 1 0 +0 1
57 Vejgaard B 1 0 1 0 +0 1
58 Randers FC 2 0 1 1 -1 1
59 Fjordager 2 0 1 1 -8 1
60 Brabrand 1 0 0 1 -1 0
61 Glostrup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 Amager FF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 Gug 1 0 0 1 -1 0
64 Horsens 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 Fremad Amager 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 Vendsyssel FF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 Greve 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 LSF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 Tåsinge 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 Nibe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Odder 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Frem 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 Kjellerup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Roskilde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 ASA Aarhus 1 0 0 1 -2 0
76 Otterup 1 0 0 1 -2 0
77 OKS 1 0 0 1 -2 0
78 NB Bornholm 1 0 0 1 -2 0
79 Tårnby FF 1 0 0 1 -2 0
80 Jetsmark 1 0 0 1 -2 0
81 Allerød 1 0 0 1 -2 0
82 B 1960 1 0 0 1 -2 0
83 Køge Union 1 0 0 1 -2 0
84 Holstebro 1 0 0 1 -3 0
85 KFUM Roskilde 1 0 0 1 -3 0
86 Bispebjerg 1 0 0 1 -3 0
87 Aarhus 1900 1 0 0 1 -3 0
88 Morud/Veflinge 1 0 0 1 -4 0
89 Dragør 1 0 0 1 -4 0
90 Frem Sakskøbing 1 0 0 1 -4 0
91 Varde 1 0 0 1 -4 0
92 Frederiksholm Sydhavnen 1 0 0 1 -4 0
93 Nørresundby 1 0 0 1 -5 0
94 Højslev IF 1 0 0 1 -5 0
95 KFUM Odense 1 0 0 1 -6 0
96 Vallensbæk 1 0 0 1 -6 0
97 BSF 1 0 0 1 -7 0
98 FC Nakskov 1 0 0 1 -7 0
99 KRFK 1 0 0 1 -7 0
100 Egen 1 0 0 1 -8 0
101 Bredballe 1 0 0 1 -8 0
102 LUIF 1 0 0 1 -16 0
103 Avrasya 1 0 0 1 -18 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Fredericia Silkeborg
1–0 F. Carstensen
7′
2–0 F. Carstensen
E. Simonsen
26′
Half-time 2–0
S. Bækgård 🔁
↦ J. Jessen
46′
N. Ritter 🔁
↦ J. Brinch
46′
46′
🔁 P. Mattsson
↦ C. McCowatt
65′
🔁 T. Adamsen
↦ S. Þórðarson
65′
🔁 A. Poulsen
↦ L. Musonda
M. Juhl 🔁
↦ M. Fischer
66′
E. Dall 🔁
↦ C. Gammelgaard
66′
R. Schwartz 🔁
↦ E. Simonsen
79′
J. Juelsgaard 🟨
80′
80′
🟨 P. Mattsson
85′
🔁 O. Boesen
↦ M. Larsen
86′
🔁 F. Rieper
↦ J. Felix
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Fredericia

1 M. Lamhauge
18 J. Juelsgård
3 J. Brinch
4 M. Fischer
8 M. Wohlgemuth
7 G. Marcussen
24 L. Hetemi
15 E. Simonsen
22 J. Jessen
12 F. Carstensen
17 C. Gammelgaard
Bench (8)
20 S. Bækgård
2 N. Ritter
5 M. Juhl
19 E. Dall
16 R. Schwartz
33 F. Mehder
9 P. Egelund
14 A. Dahl

Coach: M. Hansen

Silkeborg

1 N. Larsen
19 J. Gammelby
24 L. Musonda
4 J. Felix
3 R. Østrøm
14 M. Brink
17 C. McCowatt
8 S. Þórðarson
20 M. Larsen
21 A. Klynge
9 A. Lind
Bench (9)
6 P. Mattsson
23 T. Adamsen
2 A. Poulsen
41 O. Boesen
29 F. Rieper
7 K. Kusk
5 O. Sonne
25 P. Rödin
16 J. Pryts

Coach: K. Nielsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Kristoffersen · 69 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.