Europa League
Referee: K Athanasiou
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
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Who wins?
Pro
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Team trends
Ružomberok
FK Tobol Kostanay
Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches
Win Ø 29%
25%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 38%
25%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,5
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Goal markets
Pro
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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Most likely result
Pro
The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Match stats
Half-time score: 3–2
3
Yellow cards
5
0
Red cards
0
Match report
Ružomberok
FK Tobol Kostanay
⚽
I. Ivanović
0–1
I. Chesnokov
1–1 Š. Gabriel
⚽
J. Hladík
🟨
Islam Chesnokov
2–1 A. Selecký
⚽
J. Hladík
⚽
D. Henen
2–2
I. Ivanović
Half-time 2–2
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I. Miladinović
↦ Z. Zhumashev
3–2 M. Malý
⚽
S. Lavrinčík
🟨
Albert Gabaraev
Šimon Gabriel
🟨
Š. Gerec
🔁
↦ A. Tučný
🟨
Evgen Shakhov
Alexander Selecký
🟨
🔁
E. Tapalov
↦ D. Henen
M. Madleňák
🔁
↦ A. Selecký
M. Chobot
🔁
↦ J. Hladík
🔁
Rui Costa
↦ Y. Shakhov
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T. Mosiashvili
↦ R. Asrankulov
4–2 M. Madleňák
⚽
🟨
Pape Alioune Ndiaye
5–2 M. Malý
⚽
S. Lavrinčík
🟨
Ivan Miladinović
M. Kelemen
🔁
↦ M. Chrien
Oliver Luterán
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Full-time 5–2
Line-ups
Ružomberok
4-2-3-1
34
T. Frühwald
G
16
D. Köstl
M
22
Š. Gabriel
32
M. Malý
D
28
A. Selecký
D
6
T. Múdry
M
11
S. Lavrinčík
M
17
A. Tučný
M
30
M. Chrien
M
4
O. Luterán
D
14
J. Hladík
F
Bench (11)
15
Š. Gerec
23
M. Madleňák
20
M. Chobot
26
M. Kelemen
35
B. Sokol
18
M. Boďa
1
D. Ťapaj
8
K. Domonkos
3
J. Maslo
5
R. Božík
19
M. Gomola
Coach: O. Smetana
FK Tobol Kostanay
3-5-2
1
S. Pokatilov
G
15
A. Gabaraev
D
5
P. N'Diaye
D
3
R. Asrankulov
D
7
Z. Zhumashev
M
28
Y. Shakhov
M
8
A. El Messaoudi
M
6
E. Ededem
M
11
I. Chesnokov
M
10
I. Ivanović
M
77
D. Henen
M
Bench (11)
55
I. Miladinović
16
E. Tapalov
20
Rui Costa
13
T. Mosiashvili
4
E. Abdulla
51
B. Galym
35
Y. Melikhov
21
R. Tsonev
12
S. Busurmanov
19
R. Valiullin
25
R. Bozhko
Coach: N. Zhumaskaliev
Odds comparison
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.