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Conference League
Referee: M Milanović
FK Tobol Kostanay
T U S U S
1–2
Full-time
Basel
U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FK Tobol Kostanay Basel
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
1,8
4,3
Scored
1,2
2,3
Conceded
0,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 3/1 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,3
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
2,3
4,0
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
0,7
3,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

39% Possession 61%
13 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 4
3 Offside 1
25 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

27. Jul -23 Basel – FK Tobol Kostanay 1–3

Match report

FK Tobol Kostanay Basel
Miljan Vukadinović 🟨
10′
26′
⚽ A. Kade 0–1
32′
⚽ J. Augustin 0–2
1–2 S. Deblé ⚽
43′
45′
🟨 Fabian Frei
Half-time 1–2
Islam Chesnokov 🟨
59′
A. Gabaraev 🔁
↦ B. Kairov
62′
P. Zabelin 🔁
↦ R. Orazov
71′
71′
🔁 A. Onyegbule
↦ W. Burger
76′
🟨 Arnau Comas
78′
🔁 J. Zé
↦ A. Kade
78′
🔁 A. Hunziker
↦ L. Millar
Roman Asrankulov 🟨
82′
S. Muzhikov 🔁
↦ I. Chesnokov
84′
P. Kireenko 🔁
↦ S. Zharynbetov
84′
Z. Zhumashev 🔁
↦ M. Vukadinović
84′
87′
🟨 Jean-Kévin Augustin
87′
🔁 N. Djiga
↦ D. Ndoye
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

FK Tobol Kostanay

4-2-3-1
23 I. Konovalov G
24 B. Kairov D
4 I. Rogač D
30 B. Mlađović D
3 R. Asrankulov D
14 S. Zharynbetov M
6 J. Ilić M
11 I. Chesnokov M
20 R. Orazov M
21 M. Vukadinović M
8 S. Deblé F
Bench (10)
15 A. Gabaraev
13 P. Zabelin
10 S. Muzhikov
18 P. Kireenko
7 Z. Zhumashev
17 T. Zhakupov
19 M. Mrkaić
5 D. Semchenkov
12 S. Busurmanov
51 B. Galym

Coach: M. Ćurčić

Basel

4-2-3-1
13 M. Salvi G
5 M. Lang D
4 Arnau Comas D
25 F. van Breemen D
31 D. Schmid D
20 F. Frei M
23 W. Burger M
30 A. Kade M
10 J. Augustin M
7 L. Millar M
27 D. Ndoye F
Bench (9)
29 A. Onyegbule
39 J. Zé
17 A. Hunziker
24 N. Djiga
43 T. Pfeiffer
28 H. Vogel
16 N. de Mol
18 E. Essiam
38 A. Kayombo

Coach: T. Schultz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Milanović · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.