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Conference League
Referee: M Jug
Plzen
U S S S S
3–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Plzen FK Tobol Kostanay
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
This season — Conference League · 5/7 matches
Win Ø 62%
80%
43%
Points per game
2,6
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
60%
57%
Both score Ø 49%
40%
57%
Average goals
2,4
2,1
Scored
2,0
1,1
Conceded
0,4
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,6
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

13 Shots 1
1 Blocked shots 1
6 Corners 2
2 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Plzen FK Tobol Kostanay
3′
🟨 Bagdat Kairov
1–0 T. Chorý
32′
Half-time 1–0
I. Traoré 🔁
↦ P. Šulc
53′
2–0 R. Durosinmi
59′
61′
🔁 I. Ivanović
↦ M. Vukadinović
61′
🔁 I. Chesnokov
↦ S. Zharynbetov
61′
🔁 M. Mrkaić
↦ S. Deblé
68′
🔁 B. Galym
↦ S. Muzhikov
J. Kliment 🔁
↦ T. Chorý
77′
78′
🔁 P. Zabelin
↦ J. Ilić
85′
🟨 Beybit Galym
Jan Kliment 🟨
86′
86′
🟨 Igor Ivanović
M. Vydra 🔁
↦ R. Durosinmi
87′
3–0 I. Traoré
93′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Plzen

3-4-3
36 J. Staněk G
2 L. Hejda M
3 R. Hranáč M
40 S. Dweh D
10 J. Kopic D
20 P. Bucha D
23 L. Kalvach M
22 Cadu M
17 R. Durosinmi F
15 T. Chorý F
31 P. Šulc M
Bench (12)
12 I. Traoré
9 J. Kliment
11 M. Vydra
14 R. Řezník
44 L. Holík
13 M. Tvrdoň
5 J. Paluska
88 A. Vlkanova
18 J. Mosquera
16 M. Jedlička
33 E. Jirka
21 V. Jemelka

Coach: M. Koubek

FK Tobol Kostanay

4-2-3-1
23 I. Konovalov G
24 B. Kairov D
4 I. Rogač D
30 B. Mlađović M
15 A. Gabaraev D
90 Y. Shakhov D
6 J. Ilić M
14 S. Zharynbetov F
10 S. Muzhikov M
21 M. Vukadinović M
8 S. Deblé F
Bench (11)
70 I. Ivanović
11 I. Chesnokov
19 M. Mrkaić
51 B. Galym
13 P. Zabelin
17 T. Zhakupov
39 B. Ermekbaev
5 D. Semchenkov
18 P. Kireenko
28 Y. Melikhov
12 S. Busurmanov

Coach: M. Ćurčić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Jug · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.