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Eliteserien
Referee: Dag Vidar Hafsaas
Aalesund
U S U S S
0–1
Full-time
Valerenga
T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Valerenga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,7
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,0
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,7
This season — Eliteserien · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 36%
43%
29%
Points per game
1,6
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
57%
71%
Both score Ø 64%
71%
57%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
1,4
1,4
Conceded
1,3
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

46% Possession 54%
5 Shots 7
1 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 5
1 Offside 6
6 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aalesund 8. · Valerenga 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 7 6 1 0 +10 19
2 Sarpsborg 08 7 4 1 2 +7 13
3 Stabaek 7 4 1 2 +4 13
4 Odd 7 4 0 3 -3 12
5 Brann 7 3 2 2 +5 11
6 Molde 7 3 2 2 +4 11
7 Haugesund 7 3 2 2 +2 11
8 Aalesund 7 3 2 2 +1 11
9 Sandefjord 7 3 1 3 +0 10
10 Stromsgodset 7 2 3 2 -2 9
11 Tromso 7 2 2 3 -2 8
12 Valerenga 7 2 1 4 -3 7
13 Kristiansund 7 2 1 4 -6 7
14 Lillestrom 7 2 0 5 -6 6
15 Sogndal 7 1 2 4 -6 5
16 Viking 7 1 1 5 -5 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aalesund Valerenga
8′
🔁 H. Stengel
↦ C. Grindheim
O. Lie 🔁
↦ D. Grétarsson
34′
39′
H. Stengel 0–1
R. Lundström
41′
🟨 Magnus Lekven
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 M. Keita
↦ C. Ejuke
60′
🟨 Herman Stengel
66′
🟨 Ivan Nasberg
75′
🔁 M. Abdellaoue
↦ B. Finne
Kaj Ramsteijn 🟨
78′
V. Berisha 🔁
↦ S. Fet
87′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Aalesund

4-4-2
1 A. Lie G
2 M. Kirkeskov D
6 K. Ramsteijn D
22 A. Arnarson D
3 D. Grétarsson D
8 F. Carlsen M
14 E. Gyasi M
18 V. Hoff M
30 M. Abdellaoue F
10 L. Veldwijk F
17 S. Fet M
Bench (7)
5 O. Lie
9 V. Berisha
15 Marlinho
23 P. Heigre
33 A. Waagan
36 E. Solnørdal
38 J. Hatlehol

Coach: T. Fredriksen

Valerenga

4-2-3-1
1 M. Sandberg G
3 E. Jääger D
4 J. Nation D
5 R. Lundström D
22 I. Näsberg D
8 M. Lekven M
19 C. Grindheim F
6 A. Ibrahim M
10 G. Zahid M
11 B. Finne M
40 C. Ejuke F
Bench (7)
14 H. Stengel
17 M. Keita
25 M. Abdellaoue
2 M. Nakkim
15 D. Berntsen
20 H. Johansen
30 A. Falch

Coach: R. Deila

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Dag Vidar Hafsaas · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.