Premier League
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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West Brom
Chelsea
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Chelsea
|
35 | 27 | 3 | 5 | +46 | 84 |
| 2 |
Tottenham
|
35 | 23 | 8 | 4 | +48 | 77 |
| 3 |
Liverpool
|
36 | 20 | 10 | 6 | +29 | 70 |
| 4 |
Man City
|
35 | 20 | 9 | 6 | +33 | 69 |
| 5 |
Arsenal
|
35 | 20 | 6 | 9 | +26 | 66 |
| 6 |
Man United
|
35 | 17 | 14 | 4 | +24 | 65 |
| 7 |
Everton
|
37 | 17 | 10 | 10 | +20 | 61 |
| 8 |
West Brom
|
35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | -4 | 45 |
| 9 |
Leicester
|
35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 43 |
| 10 |
Southampton
|
35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | -7 | 42 |
| 11 |
Bournemouth
|
36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | -13 | 42 |
| 12 |
West Ham
|
36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | -14 | 42 |
| 13 |
Stoke
|
36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | -13 | 41 |
| 14 |
Burnley
|
36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | -14 | 40 |
| 15 |
Watford
|
36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | -22 | 40 |
| 16 |
Crystal Palace
|
36 | 11 | 5 | 20 | -15 | 38 |
| 17 |
Swansea
|
36 | 10 | 5 | 21 | -28 | 35 |
| 18 |
Hull
|
36 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -33 | 34 |
| 19 |
Middlesbrough
|
36 | 5 | 13 | 18 | -22 | 28 |
| 20 |
Sunderland
|
35 | 6 | 6 | 23 | -32 | 24 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
S. Field
M
Coach: T. Pulis
T. Courtois
G
Marcos Alonso
M
N. Matić
M
Coach: A. Conte
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Burnley
West Brom
West Brom
Leicester
West Brom
Liverpool
West Brom
Southampton
Watford
West Brom
Michael Oliver · 163 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.