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Eliteserien
Referee: Ken Henry Johnsen
Valerenga
S U S U U
0–1
Full-time
Aalesund
T T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valerenga Aalesund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,8
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,2
This season — Eliteserien · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 31%
33%
29%
Points per game
1,3
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
46%
58%
Both score Ø 50%
46%
54%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,4
1,4
Conceded
1,4
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

68% Possession 32%
17 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
15 Corners 3
4 Offside 0
7 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valerenga 10. · Aalesund 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 25 19 5 1 +40 62
2 Brann 24 12 5 7 +12 41
3 Odd 24 12 5 7 +8 41
4 Haugesund 24 11 7 6 +5 40
5 Sarpsborg 08 25 11 6 8 -2 39
6 Molde 25 11 5 9 +3 38
7 Viking 25 10 6 9 -3 36
8 Stromsgodset 24 10 5 9 +3 35
9 Sogndal 25 8 10 7 +1 34
10 Valerenga 24 8 6 10 +0 30
11 Tromso 24 8 6 10 -5 30
12 Bodo/Glimt 24 7 6 11 -5 27
13 Aalesund 24 7 5 12 -11 26
14 Stabaek 24 6 6 12 -6 24
15 Lillestrom 25 5 8 12 -8 23
16 Start 24 0 9 15 -32 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valerenga Aalesund
1′
M. Abdellaoue 0–1
F. Boli
30′
🟨 Vebjørn Hoff
Rasmus Lindkvist 🟨
32′
34′
🟨 Fredrik Carlsen
H. Stengel 🔁
↦ V. Sakor
36′
Robert Lundstrom 🟨
41′
Kjetil Waehler 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–1
M. Abdellaoue 🔁
↦ H. Johansen
46′
N. Castro 🔁
↦ K. Wæhler
60′
64′
🔁 P. Larsen
↦ A. Þrándarson
70′
🟨 Mikkel Kirkeskov
78′
🔁 S. Fet
↦ M. Abdellaoue
83′
🔁 D. Grétarsson
↦ E. Gyasi
88′
🟨 Andreas Lie
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Valerenga

4-2-3-1
1 M. Sandberg G
24 K. Wæhler
5 R. Lundström D
6 S. Larsen D
19 C. Grindheim F
16 V. Sakor M
10 G. Zahid M
21 S. Juklerød D
23 S. Berge M
9 R. Lindkvist M
20 H. Johansen F
Bench (7)
14 H. Stengel
25 M. Abdellaoue
17 N. Castro
15 M. Nakkim
29 M. Grødem
30 A. Falch
39 E. Agyiri

Coach: K. Rekdal

Aalesund

4-2-3-1
1 A. Lie G
5 O. Lie D
6 V. Wormgoor D
2 M. Kirkeskov D
22 A. Arnarson D
8 F. Carlsen M
11 A. Þrándarson M
18 V. Hoff M
30 M. Abdellaoue F
14 E. Gyasi M
7 F. Boli F
Bench (6)
10 P. Larsen
40 S. Fet
3 D. Grétarsson
4 T. Mäntylä
15 Marlinho
24 L. Cramer

Coach: T. Fredriksen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Ken Henry Johnsen · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
17,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.