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Europa League
Referee: José Sánchez
2–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FK Partizan AEK Larnaca
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,3
This season — Europa League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

4 Corners 3
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

FK Partizan AEK Larnaca
1–0 Ricardo Gomes
F. Diabaté
24′
Half-time 2–0
51′
S. Marković 2–0
own goal
Bibras Natcho 🟨
52′
3–0 Ricardo Gomes
F. Diabaté
54′
56′
I. Faraj 3–1
O. Altman
Svetozar Marković 🟨
60′
Slobodan Urošević 🟨
62′
N. Jović 🔁
↦ B. Natcho
64′
66′
🔁 Bruno Gama
↦ Á. Gyurcsó
66′
🔁 Ismael Casas
↦ N. Englezou
79′
🔁 V. Olatunji
↦ Rafael Lopes
79′
🔁 R. Mamas
↦ O. Altman
A. Lutovac 🔁
↦ Q. Menig
80′
81′
🟨 Ismael Casas
S. Baždar 🔁
↦ Ricardo Gomes
84′
89′
🔁 Mikel González
↦ I. Faraj
91′
🟨 Rafail Mamas
92′
🟨 Kenan Pirić
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

FK Partizan

4-2-1-3
41 A. Popović G
26 A. Filipović D
5 I. Vujačić D
6 S. Marković D
72 S. Urošević D
15 L. Fejsa M
7 Patrick Andrade M
10 B. Natcho M
18 F. Diabaté M
11 Ricardo Gomes F
9 Q. Menig M
Bench (12)
77 N. Jović
97 A. Lutovac
14 S. Baždar
3 M. Ilić
36 N. Terzić
4 S. Saničanin
90 M. Petkovic
40 K. Belić
12 Z. Šehović
25 M. Lukač
17 M. Živković
85 N. Stevanović

Coach: A. Stanojević

AEK Larnaca

4-2-3-1
1 K. Pirić G
16 R. Rosales D
15 H. Miličević M
4 N. Tomović D
21 N. Englezou M
6 Oier M
7 Gus Ledes M
11 I. Faraj F
51 O. Altman M
45 Á. Gyurcsó M
12 Rafael Lopes F
Bench (11)
8 Bruno Gama
5 Ismael Casas
19 V. Olatunji
66 R. Mamas
3 Mikel González
30 H. Andreou
29 G. Naoum
10 I. Trichkovski
38 I. Toumpas
9 J. Romo
40 D. Stylianidis

Coach: José Luis Oltra

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

José Sánchez · 156 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.