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Europa League
Referee: Ricardo De Burgos
Lugano
S T S S T
2–2
Full-time
FK Partizan
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano FK Partizan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
83%
17%
Average goals
3,8
3,3
Scored
2,0
0,7
Conceded
1,8
2,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-2,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,0
1,0
Scored
1,0
0,0
Conceded
0,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

6 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

8. Aug -24 FK Partizan – Lugano 0–1

Match report

Lugano FK Partizan
17′
🟨 Kervin Arriaga
33′
🟨 Zubairu Ibrahim
44′
G. Zahid 0–1
X. Severina
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 Matheus Saldanha
↦ Goh Young-Jun
1–1 R. Steffen
47′
Albian Hajdari 🟨
49′
S. Vladi 🔁
↦ Daniel Dos Santos
54′
H. Mahou 🔁
↦ I. Aliseda
64′
H. Mahmoud 🔁
↦ A. Grgic
64′
64′
🔁 J. Grimaldo
↦ Z. Ibrahim
64′
🔁 N. Nikolić
↦ A. Kalulu
67′
S. Marković 1–2
G. Zahid
70′
🟨 Nihad Mujakić
Albian Hajdari 🟨
88′
Albian Hajdari 🟥
88′
L. Mai 🔁
↦ U. Bislimi
89′
89′
🔁 L. Owusu
↦ G. Zahid
89′
🔁 N. Trifunović
↦ X. Severina
Milton Valenzuela 🟨
105′
2–2 H. Mahmoud
R. Steffen
111′
Mohamed Haj Mahmoud 🟨
112′
113′
🔁 B. Natcho
↦ K. Arriaga
Renato Steffen 🟨
115′
Z. Brault-Guillard 🔁
↦ R. Steffen
117′
Martim Marques 🔁
↦ H. Mahou
118′
Ousmane Doumbia 🟨
123′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Lugano

4-2-3-1
1 A. Saipi G
46 M. Zanotti D
6 A. Papadopoulos D
5 A. Hajdari D
23 M. Valenzuela D
20 O. Doumbia M
8 A. Grgic M
11 R. Steffen F
25 U. Bislimi M
27 Daniel Dos Santos M
31 I. Aliseda F
Bench (12)
9 S. Vladi
18 H. Mahou
29 H. Mahmoud
17 L. Mai
2 Z. Brault-Guillard
26 Martim Marques
7 R. Macek
58 S. Osigwe
21 Y. Cimignani
22 A. El Wafi
99 D. Mina
93 K. Przybyłko

Coach: M. Croci-Torti

FK Partizan

4-2-3-1
1 A. Jovanović G
25 N. De Medina D
6 S. Marković D
18 N. Mujakić D
4 M. Jurčević D
33 K. Arriaga M
29 G. Zahid M
7 X. Severina M
77 Goh Young-Jun M
39 Z. Ibrahim M
15 A. Kalulu M
Bench (12)
11 Matheus Saldanha
20 J. Grimaldo
23 N. Nikolić
16 L. Owusu
43 N. Trifunović
10 B. Natcho
9 Đ. Jovanović
26 A. Filipović
19 A. Šćekić
85 N. Stevanović
50 M. Lazarević
5 N. Antić

Coach: A. Stanojević

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ricardo De Burgos · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.