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Bundesliga

Referee: J Semler

Wolfsberger AC

S S T T U

3–1

Full-time

Salzburg

S T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolfsberger AC Salzburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,2

3,5

Scored

1,2

2,3

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,2

This season — Bundesliga · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 50%

40%

60%

Points per game

1,4

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

40%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

40%

60%

Average goals

2,4

3,8

Scored

1,4

2,8

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+1,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

35% Possession 65%

14 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 2

6 Blocked shots 7

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 2

3 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 13

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Wolfsberger AC 6. · Salzburg 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	SK Rapid	5	4	1	0	+4	+0.8	13
2	Salzburg	5	3	2	0	+9	+4.2	11
3	Sturm Graz	4	3	0	1	+6	+2.9	9
4	Tirol	4	2	2	0	+4	+3.9	8
5	Altach	5	2	2	1	+2	+1.1	8
6	Wolfsberger AC	5	2	1	2	+2	+0.1	7
7	Ried	5	2	1	2	+1	-2.4	7
8	Hartberg	5	2	0	3	-1	-0.4	6
9	Austria Vienna	5	1	1	3	-4	+0.0	4
10	Grazer AK	5	0	3	2	-8	-3.0	3
11	LASK	5	1	0	4	-8	-5.0	3
12	BW Linz	5	0	1	4	-7	-2.2	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Salzburg	3	2	1	0	+8	+2.7	7
2	Tirol	3	2	1	0	+4	+3.9	7
3	Altach	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.9	4
4	SK Rapid	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.8	4
5	Wolfsberger AC	3	1	0	2	+0	-0.1	3
6	LASK	3	1	0	2	-3	-2.9	3
7	Austria Vienna	3	1	0	2	-3	-0.2	3
8	Grazer AK	3	0	2	1	-3	-0.2	2
9	Ried	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.5	1
10	Sturm Graz	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.0	0
11	Hartberg	2	0	0	2	-2	–	0
12	BW Linz	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	3	3	0	0	+7	+2.9	9
2	SK Rapid	3	3	0	0	+3	-0.0	9
3	Ried	3	2	0	1	+3	-0.9	6
4	Hartberg	3	2	0	1	+1	-0.4	6
5	Wolfsberger AC	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.2	4
6	Salzburg	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.5	4
7	Altach	3	1	1	1	+1	+0.1	4
8	Tirol	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
9	Austria Vienna	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.2	1
10	BW Linz	3	0	1	2	-4	-0.8	1
11	Grazer AK	2	0	1	1	-5	-2.7	1
12	LASK	2	0	0	2	-5	-2.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.