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Eliteserien
Referee: Tom Harald Hagen
Tromso
U U S U T
2–4
Full-time
Valerenga
U S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tromso Valerenga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,0
1,8
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,2
This season — Eliteserien · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 32%
27%
36%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
55%
45%
Both score Ø 59%
73%
45%
Average goals
2,7
2,6
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–4

39% Possession 61%
10 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 6
0 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 4
3 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tromso 11. · Valerenga 8. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 11 6 4 1 +9 22
2 Brann 11 6 3 2 +14 21
3 Sarpsborg 08 11 6 3 2 +10 21
4 Odd 11 6 1 4 +0 19
5 Stabaek 11 5 3 3 +3 18
6 Aalesund 11 5 3 3 +3 18
7 Molde 11 5 2 4 +3 17
8 Valerenga 11 4 2 5 -3 14
9 Sandefjord 11 4 2 5 -5 14
10 Stromsgodset 11 3 4 4 -3 13
11 Tromso 11 3 4 4 -4 13
12 Sogndal 11 3 3 5 -2 12
13 Haugesund 11 3 3 5 -3 12
14 Kristiansund 11 3 3 5 -6 12
15 Lillestrom 11 3 2 6 -4 11
16 Viking 11 1 2 8 -12 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tromso Valerenga
7′
⚽ J. Nation 0–1
M. Lekven
16′
⚽ G. Zahid 0–2
R. Lindkvist
18′
⚽ B. Finne 0–3
D. Holm
25′
⚽ M. Abdellaoue 0–4
G. Zahid
S. Wangberg 🔁
↦ H. Norbye
31′
34′
🟨 Robert Lundstrom
Half-time 0–4
52′
🟨 Magnus Lekven
60′
🔁 H. Stengel
↦ C. Grindheim
1–4 A. Sigurdarson ⚽
G. Åsen
62′
64′
🔁 E. Agyiri
↦ D. Holm
M. Andersen 🔁
↦ E. Samb
72′
2–4 M. Ingebrigtsen ⚽
A. Sigurdarson
75′
79′
🔁 H. Johansen
↦ M. Abdellaoue
Ulrik Jenssen 🟨
83′
87′
🟨 Ghayas Zahid
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

Tromso

4-1-4-1
28 J. Karlstrom G
14 H. Norbye D
5 M. Ødegaard D
26 J. Gundersen D
7 Morten Pedersen M
6 C. Landu Landu M
17 A. Sigurdarson F
8 U. Jenssen D
24 M. Ingebrigtsen F
23 G. Åsen F
18 E. Samb F
Bench (7)
22 S. Wangberg
15 M. Andersen
1 G. Kongshavn
4 M. Dioury
11 J. Johansen
16 P. Kpozo
27 F. Michalsen

Coach: B. Flovik

Valerenga

4-2-3-1
1 M. Sandberg G
4 J. Nation D
5 R. Lundström D
2 M. Nakkim D
8 M. Lekven M
19 C. Grindheim F
7 D. Holm M
10 G. Zahid M
25 M. Abdellaoue F
9 R. Lindkvist M
11 B. Finne M
Bench (7)
14 H. Stengel
39 E. Agyiri
20 H. Johansen
6 A. Ibrahim
15 D. Berntsen
30 A. Falch
40 C. Ejuke

Coach: R. Deila

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
U
–
B ✓
–
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
–
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

Tom Harald Hagen · 102 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.