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Eliteserien
Referee: Tom Harald Hagen
Tromso
S S T T T
0–3
Full-time
Valerenga
U U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tromso Valerenga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
This season — Eliteserien · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 30%
30%
30%
Points per game
1,1
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
59%
44%
Both score Ø 48%
48%
48%
Average goals
2,6
2,7
Scored
1,1
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%
16 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tromso 13. · Valerenga 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 27 20 6 1 +42 66
2 Brann 28 14 6 8 +13 48
3 Odd 27 13 6 8 +8 45
4 Sarpsborg 08 28 12 8 8 -1 44
5 Molde 28 12 6 10 +4 42
6 Haugesund 27 11 8 8 +3 41
7 Viking 28 11 7 10 -2 40
8 Aalesund 28 11 5 12 -7 38
9 Stromsgodset 27 10 7 10 +1 37
10 Sogndal 27 8 12 7 +1 36
11 Valerenga 27 8 7 12 -3 31
12 Bodo/Glimt 27 8 6 13 -5 30
13 Tromso 27 8 6 13 -9 30
14 Lillestrom 27 7 8 12 -6 29
15 Stabaek 28 7 7 14 -7 28
16 Start 27 2 9 16 -32 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tromso Valerenga
H. Gjesdal 🔁
↦ K. Antonsen
22′
Half-time 0–1
49′
H. Johansen 0–1
G. Zahid
58′
M. Abdellaoue 0–2
S. Larsen
Morten Pedersen 🔁
↦ C. Landu Landu
61′
61′
🔁 D. Holm
↦ H. Johansen
62′
🔁 H. Stengel
↦ C. Grindheim
66′
G. Zahid 0–3
M. Ingebrigtsen 🔁
↦ M. Andersen
71′
76′
🔁 V. Sakor
↦ S. Juklerød
80′
🟨 Kjetil Waehler
84′
🟨 Simon Larsen
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Tromso

4-3-3
12 F. Lončarić
14 H. Norbye D
22 S. Wangberg D
3 K. Antonsen M
26 J. Gundersen D
15 M. Andersen M
6 C. Landu Landu M
8 U. Jenssen D
10 T. Olsen F
23 G. Åsen F
30 R. Espejord F
Bench (7)
4 H. Gjesdal
7 Morten Pedersen
24 M. Ingebrigtsen
1 G. Kongshavn
11 J. Johansen
17 A. Sigurdarson
20 C. Johnsgard

Coach: B. Flovik

Valerenga

4-2-3-1
1 M. Sandberg G
24 K. Wæhler
4 J. Nation D
6 S. Larsen D
8 M. Lekven M
19 C. Grindheim F
10 G. Zahid M
21 S. Juklerød D
25 M. Abdellaoue F
9 R. Lindkvist M
20 H. Johansen F
Bench (7)
7 D. Holm
14 H. Stengel
16 V. Sakor
5 R. Lundström
15 M. Nakkim
30 A. Falch
33 A. Nedrebø

Coach: K. Rekdal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Tom Harald Hagen · 102 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.