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Europa League
Referee: Glenn Nyberg
Freiburg
T T S S T
3–0
Full-time
Celta
U U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Freiburg Celta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,7
3,5
Scored
2,0
1,8
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 10/12 matches
Win Ø 59%
60%
58%
Points per game
2,0
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
30%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
40%
75%
Average goals
2,1
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
0,6
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,59 xG 0,53
52% Possession 48%
13 Shots 4
7 Shots on target 0
4 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 0
1 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Freiburg Celta
1–0 V. Grifo ⚽
J. Manzambi
10′
2–0 J. Beste ⚽
I. Matanovic
32′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 J. El Abdellaoui
↦ W. Swedberg
46′
🔁 F. Lopez
↦ J. Rodriguez
61′
🔁 M. Vecino
↦ H. Sotelo
73′
🔁 I. Aspas
↦ B. Iglesias
73′
🔁 P. Duran
↦ F. Jutgla
L. Holer 🔁
↦ Y. Suzuki
74′
D. Scherhant 🔁
↦ V. Grifo
74′
3–0 M. Ginter ⚽
J. Beste
78′
L. Kubler 🔁
↦ J. Beste
89′
Maximilian Eggestein 🟨
94′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Freiburg

4-2-3-1
1 N. Atubolu G
29 P. Treu D
28 M. Ginter D
3 P. Lienhart D
33 J. Makengo D
8 M. Eggestein M
44 J. Manzambi M
19 J. Beste M
14 Y. Suzuki M
32 V. Grifo M
31 I. Matanovic F
Bench (12)
21 F. Muller
24 J. Huth
27 N. Hofler
17 L. Kubler
9 L. Holer
26 M. Philipp
43 B. Ogbus
30 C. Gunter
5 A. Jung
7 D. Scherhant
22 C. Irie
69 R. Tarnutzer

Coach: Julian Schuster

Celta

3-4-3
13 I. Radu G
32 J. Rodriguez D
4 J. Aidoo D
20 M. Alonso D
3 O. Mingueza M
22 H. Sotelo M
6 I. Moriba M
5 S. Carreira M
9 F. Jutgla F
7 B. Iglesias F
19 W. Swedberg F
Bench (12)
1 I. Villar
15 M. Vecino
11 F. Cervi
39 J. El Abdellaoui
12 M. Fernandez
36 A. Antanon
10 I. Aspas
14 A. Nunez
24 C. Dominguez
18 P. Duran
29 Y. Lago
30 F. Lopez

Coach: Claudio Giraldez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Glenn Nyberg · 27 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.