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Europa League
Referee: Eric Lambrechts
Celta
S S S S T
1–1
Full-time
Lyon
S T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta Lyon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 10/8 matches
Win Ø 74%
60%
88%
Points per game
1,9
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
80%
38%
Both score Ø 53%
80%
25%
Average goals
3,0
2,9
Scored
1,8
2,3
Conceded
1,2
0,6
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+1,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,10 xG 1,08
29% Possession 71%
5 Shots 20
3 Shots on target 6
0 Blocked shots 7
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
0 Corners 7
0 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 14
5 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0

Match report

Celta Lyon
Borja Iglesias 🟨
20′
1–0 J. Rueda ⚽
W. Swedberg
25′
Half-time 1–0
F. Jutgla 🔁
↦ I. Aspas
46′
S. Carreira 🔁
↦ J. Rueda
46′
Óscar Mingueza 🟨
48′
53′
🟨 Nicolás Tagliafico
Borja Iglesias 🟨
54′
Borja Iglesias 🟥
54′
M. Ristic 🔁
↦ O. Mingueza
63′
P. Duran 🔁
↦ W. Swedberg
67′
67′
🔁 R. Himbert
↦ N. Tagliafico
70′
🔁 A. Karabec
↦
77′
🟨 Steeve Kango
85′
🔁 T. Tessmann
↦ S. Kango
85′
🔁 A. Hamdani
↦ N. Nartey
85′
🔁 O. Mangala
↦ T. Morton
87′
⚽ Endrick 1–1
C. Mata
H. Sotelo 🔁
↦ I. Moriba
91′
Marcos Alonso 🟨
93′
Matías Vecino 🟨
93′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Celta

3-4-2-1
13 I. Radu G
32 J. Rodriguez D
2 C. Starfelt D
20 M. Alonso D
17 J. Rueda M
15 M. Vecino M
6 I. Moriba M
3 O. Mingueza M
10 I. Aspas F
19 W. Swedberg F
7 B. Iglesias F
Bench (12)
1 I. Villar
39 J. El Abdellaoui
21 M. Ristic
4 J. Aidoo
9 F. Jutgla
5 S. Carreira
14 A. Nunez
24 C. Dominguez
22 H. Sotelo
18 P. Duran
23 H. Alvarez
30 F. Lopez

Coach: Claudio Giraldez

Lyon

4-2-3-1
1 D. Greif G
60 S. Kango D
22 C. Mata D
19 M. Niakhate D
3 N. Tagliafico D
23 T. Morton M
8 C. Tolisso M
9 Endrick M
99 N. Nartey M
16 Abner Vinicius M
77 R. Yaremchuk F
Bench (10)
40 R. Descamps
62 Y. Konan
6 T. Tessmann
45 R. Himbert
44 K. Merah
46 T. Goncalves
84 A. Hamdani
5 O. Mangala
7 A. Karabec
39 M. de Carvalho

Coach: Paulo Fonseca

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Eric Lambrechts · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.